Molecule News

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24%chance

48090112

OptionVotes

YES

7294

4968

Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?

Nov 20, 3:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

39%chance

9312387

OptionVotes

YES

1767

574

If/When we find aliens will there primary molecule for life be carbon

Apr 3, 10:36 AMDec 11, 4:59 AM

87.66%chance

211296

OptionVotes

YES

1409

861

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

75.9%chance

14875

OptionProbability

YES

1795

801

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

YES

1139

442

How will the first artificial molecular assembler be constructed?

Aug 20, 4:59 AMDec 20, 7:59 AM

19354

OptionProbability

Protein Synthesis (e.g. DNA origami, RNA tiles)

Other

Additive Photolithography (e.g. 1 or 2-photon polymerization)

Vapor Deposition (e.g. CVD, PVD, ...)

Subtractive Photolithography (e.g. EUV photoresist)

Scanning Probe Microscopy (e.g. AFM/STM vertical atom manipulation)

Peptidomimetic Macrocycles (e.g. spiroligomer-based membranes)

Focused Ion Beam (e.g. sputtering or metal deposition)

Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?

Dec 31, 4:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20%chance

10274

OptionVotes

YES

1035

975

Wavelet-based electrostatics solver in molecular dynamics code? (Before Nov 2026)

Nov 9, 9:09 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

46.19%chance

3206

OptionVotes

YES

Will trials show DDL-920 effectiveness in humans?

Aug 9, 7:22 AMAug 16, 6:59 PM

50.51%chance

4150

OptionVotes

YES

1078

1062

Will AI developed molecules or drugs be the dominant sources of new biopharma IP by Sep 5 2029?

Sep 5, 10:48 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

73.75%chance

5100

OptionVotes

YES

168

Which risks should we focus on when addressing risks from molecular nanotechnology?

Nov 14, 7:39 PM

110

We should focus more on this area for molecular manufacturing:

Nov 14, 7:36 PM

120

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Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?

If/When we find aliens will there primary molecule for life be carbon

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

How will the first artificial molecular assembler be constructed?

Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?

Wavelet-based electrostatics solver in molecular dynamics code? (Before Nov 2026)

Will trials show DDL-920 effectiveness in humans?

Will AI developed molecules or drugs be the dominant sources of new biopharma IP by Sep 5 2029?

Which risks should we focus on when addressing risks from molecular nanotechnology?

We should focus more on this area for molecular manufacturing:

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