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Prediction markets for Monee

Will Trump successfully appeal the hush money case?

Apr 17, 12:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

42.89%chance

7037624

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

700

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.59%chance

3423330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2335

416

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2729

2049

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?

Jan 22, 7:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

71.85%chance

4918584

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17172

3184

Will the Spaceballs sequel be called "Spaceballs 2: The Search for More Money"?

Jun 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

217503

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Sequel not released before 2035

74

22

4

Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?

Mar 7, 7:01 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

71.37%chance

837433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1622

218

Will Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?

Mar 21, 3:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

28%chance

725757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1909

367

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2025?

Jun 6, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.75%chance

24937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

631

566

Will the EU require virtual currency purchases to display real-money equivalents within a year?

Sep 12, 2:35 AMSep 11, 9:59 PM

21.09%chance

7890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

86

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.72%chance

6380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

987

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