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Prediction markets for Moore Threads

In which year will Moore's Law come to an end? (If it ever does?)

Oct 7, 5:39 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10945

OptionProbability

2028

2029

2025

2030

2031

2032

Other

2026

2022

2027

2023

2024

Not before 2033 (or at all)

Already happened before 2022 (please argue why)

12

11

10

10

9

9

8

7

6

5

4

4

3

2

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