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Prediction markets for MOST

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.86%chance

653719860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5791

4783

Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2026?

Dec 28, 11:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

106162668

OptionProbability

Ufo361

Paula Hartmann

Bonez

Samra

Capital Bra

Makko

Juice WRLD

LX

Lil Peep

Other

93

7

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

By when will most 50k+ FTX bankruptcy claimants have received their last installment ?

Jan 4, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15114321

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2025

Before Jan 2026

Before July 2026

83

58

0

0

0

Will any remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Oct 19, 8:49 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM

12.26%chance

16152068

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2693

110

Which market category on MNX will generate the most volume in 2026?

Apr 9, 4:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3529898

OptionProbability

Equity or index perps

Valuation futures / Pre-IPO

Compute (eg H100 perps)

Benchmarkets

Non-AI prediction markets

45

43

4

4

4

Will superposition in transformers be mostly solved by 2026?

Mar 16, 7:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.61%chance

9419095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4668

4512

If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?

Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8616676

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Palantir

Other

xAI

Anthropic

Anduril

Google

DeepSeek

Facebook

Alibaba

Mistral

16

16

15

14

11

10

7

6

4

1

1

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

Feb 17, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35%chance

18914872

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3617

1599

Will human mathematicians be mostly obsolete by 2030?

Jul 20, 3:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

85.26%chance

688644

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1812

53

Who will offer the most canonical compute price index at the end of 2026?

Apr 9, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

257836

OptionProbability

Compute Desk

Silicon Data

Ornn

SemiAnalysis

Other

SquareTower

Hyperbolic

Compute Exchange

Global Compute Index

46

21

10

8

5

2

2

2

2

Who will be my most streamed Spotify artist in November 2026?

Oct 31, 10:32 PMNov 30, 11:00 PM

61431

OptionProbability

Ufo361

Other

Paula Hartmann

Bonez

51

24

17

9

Who will have the most revenue in the USA before Jan 1st 2030

Sep 23, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71182

OptionProbability

Uber

Tesla Cybercab

Waymo

Lyft

Other

57

22

8

6

6

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