OptionProbability
There are at least four tied rounds (both sides pick same option)
Tumbles uses the same move twice in a row
Manifold will win at least one round
Tumbles profits overall (only looking at @Orangey bets, not creator costs/bonuses)
There are at least six tied rounds (both sides pick same option)
Rock Paper Scissors Mastermind is Tumbles debt holder (since before August)
Tumbles picks rock at least five times
There is not a single tied round (both sides pick same option)
Tumbles never uses one or more of the moves (e.g. only rock and paper but never scissors)
Tumbles's moves form a repeating pattern with a motif of length 2 or less (e.g. RSRSRSR or PSPS or PPPPP)
100
69
41
30
12
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
240
113
219
92