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Motive Technologies News
Prediction markets for Motive Technologies
Prediction markets for Motive Technologies
Will Ray Kurzweil live to be a centenarian?
Oct 14, 11:52 PM
Feb 13, 4:59 AM
13.37%
chance
10
937
Option
Votes
YES
NO
242
113
Will at least some AIs receive legal protections against cruelty in the U.S. before 2050?
Aug 6, 1:19 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
72.62%
chance
21
788
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1024
968
Will I one-box in Newcomb's Problem?
Oct 22, 1:42 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
90.55%
chance
5
115
Option
Votes
NO
YES
215
76
[Carlini questions] Impact of AI has significantly, and discontinuously, increased the concentration of power or wealth
Mar 24, 1:43 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
1
25
Option
Probability
By 2030
By 2027
69
50
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