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Prediction markets for Movement for Socialism

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

26.53%chance

1418546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1664

601

Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.54%chance

703479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1387

1102

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Will a self-described 'democratic socialist' win the US presidential election in 2028?

Jul 6, 7:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.38%chance

263040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2345

426

Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?

Jun 9, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

35.8%chance

282254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1339

747

Who will be the Trump political heir?

Jan 22, 4:37 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

8812

OptionProbability

Other

Barron William Trump

Donald John Trump Jr.

Eric Frederick Trump

Tiffany Ariana Trump

Ivana Marie “Ivanka” Trump

30

23

16

14

12

4

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

Will involuntary servitude as punishment for a crime be illegal in all US states before 2030?

Mar 19, 4:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.14%chance

5196

OptionVotes

YES

NO

326

110

Will there be an Effective Altruism Toronto meetup event within the next three months?

Jun 14, 6:40 PMSep 14, 6:38 PM

65.9%chance

699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Will a sitting member of U.S. Congress express support for the #LandBack movement before 2026?

Jan 10, 2:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

40.84%chance

536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

99

Will Looking for Growth give a London councillor, the London mayor or an MP before 2030?

Jun 17, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.28%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

966

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.69%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

80

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