OptionVotes
NO
YES
100
700
14
OptionProbability
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Balkanization/long civil war
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Voluntary transition of power
Venezuela-style puppet state
33
18
17
15
11
4
2
1
1025
925
257
192
203
149
121
82
118
84
