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Prediction markets for MP

Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?

Jul 6, 12:23 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

77.78%chance

234714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1871

534

Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2026?

Nov 15, 4:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1%chance

142863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2358

43

Which Labour MP(s) will mount a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer? [Add Answers]

Oct 27, 1:50 PMDec 28, 1:45 PM

52672

OptionProbability

Wes Streeting

Angela Rayner

Shabana Mahmood

Jess Phillips

Ed Milliband

23

12

10

8

8

Will any Labour MP defect to the Green Party before 2026?

Oct 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

222035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?

Jul 5, 2:54 AMJul 12, 10:59 PM

74.09%chance

261912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1691

591

By the next UK election, will a sitting MP publicly question US military presence in the UK?

Mar 10, 10:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.54%chance

71169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1908

524

Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2031?

Nov 15, 4:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

7.13%chance

7436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

586

72

Will Boris Johnson stand as an MP again?

Jun 22, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.99%chance

13357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

49

Will Liz Truss ever again lead a political party with at least 1 sitting MP?

Oct 2, 11:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.19%chance

8340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

316

132

Will Liz Truss run for MP again before / during the next UK General Election?

Aug 16, 1:57 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

11.03%chance

7235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?

Jul 3, 5:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.25%chance

359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will Looking for Growth give a London councillor, the London mayor or an MP before 2030?

Jun 17, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.28%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

966

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