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Prediction markets for MP

Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on 1st September 2025?

Mar 7, 6:12 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

1.01%chance

718657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9902

101

Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?

Jul 6, 12:23 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

78.26%chance

234086

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1898

527

Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2026?

Nov 15, 4:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

2%chance

142003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1498

55

Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?

Jul 5, 2:54 AMJul 12, 10:59 PM

74.09%chance

261912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1691

591

By the next UK election, will a sitting MP publicly question US military presence in the UK?

Mar 10, 10:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.54%chance

71169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1908

524

Will Boris Johnson stand as an MP again?

Jun 22, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.99%chance

13357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

49

Will Liz Truss ever again lead a political party with at least 1 sitting MP?

Oct 2, 11:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.19%chance

8340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

316

132

Will Liz Truss run for MP again before / during the next UK General Election?

Aug 16, 1:57 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

11.03%chance

7235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2036?

Nov 15, 4:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.45%chance

6201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

73

Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2031?

Nov 15, 4:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

15.96%chance

6186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

336

102

MP Materials halts sales to Shenghe Resources by EOY2025?

Jul 19, 11:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.75%chance

251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

74

Will Looking for Growth give a London councillor, the London mayor or an MP before 2030?

Jun 17, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.28%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

966

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