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Prediction markets for MP Materials

Will Gavin Baker's forecast that it'll be abjectly humiliating for everyone who is a Tesla FSD skeptic hold?

Aug 27, 8:13 PMFeb 2, 2:59 AM

5139990

OptionProbability

18-months (27th Jan 2026)

12 months (27th Aug 2025)

6 months (27th Jan 2025)

28

10

0

DoD raises rare earth price floor this year?

Jul 16, 11:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.58%chance

879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

MP Materials halts sales to Shenghe Resources by EOY2025?

Jul 19, 11:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.75%chance

251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

74

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