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Prediction markets for MRNA

Will FDA approve any type of personalized cancer mRNA vaccines before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.58%chance

202570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1216

450

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.98%chance

10610

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

866

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of herpes simplex infection before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.29%chance

9506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

373

360

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against glioblastoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.85%chance

6331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

614

236

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against Lyme disease before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.11%chance

11240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

479

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against melanoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.67%chance

8216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

515

302

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against non-small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

44.64%chance

9196

OptionVotes

NO

YES

377

309

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.98%chance

5155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

373

300

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against squamous cell carcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35.1%chance

8136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

410

342

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of breast cancer before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.65%chance

891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

417

372

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against stomach adenocarcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.25%chance

586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

289

271

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against prostate adenocarcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.2%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

283

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