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Prediction markets for MRNA

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Mar 14, 8:19 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM

32.86%chance

18220234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1429

700

Will FDA approve any type of personalized cancer mRNA vaccines before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.42%chance

263016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

549

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

81.62%chance

151732

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1557

779

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.22%chance

161292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

182

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against pancreatic adenocarcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19%chance

7784

OptionVotes

YES

NO

424

341

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against non-small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.29%chance

11727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

840

195

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against glioblastoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.85%chance

6331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

614

236

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against Lyme disease before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.19%chance

12258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

550

473

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.61%chance

5255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

407

273

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.98%chance

5155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

373

300

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of breast cancer before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.65%chance

891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

417

372

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM

31.59%chance

152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

70

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