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Prediction markets for MRNA

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Mar 14, 8:19 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM

56.46%chance

18119332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

878

Will FDA approve any type of personalized cancer mRNA vaccines before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.41%chance

212670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1316

365

Will Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine be available in the US in 2026?

Feb 18, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.02%chance

171430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

285

35

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84.9%chance

121210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1832

724

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against Lyme disease before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.11%chance

11240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

479

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.43%chance

4205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

357

286

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against non-small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

44.64%chance

9196

OptionVotes

NO

YES

377

309

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against colorectal adenocarcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.38%chance

5195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

395

259

Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2028?

Apr 20, 9:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27%chance

12159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

36

Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?

Apr 20, 9:40 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

93

83

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against esophageal adenocarcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.51%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

305

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against prostate adenocarcinoma before 2028?

Feb 21, 8:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.2%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

283

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