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MS NOW News

    Prediction markets for MS NOW

    Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13? [resolves to poll]

    Apr 20, 12:13 AMNov 9, 11:00 AM
    4.55%chance
    4316760

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    458

    22

    Severance Fan Theories [add predictions]

    Feb 1, 8:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    5812448

    OptionProbability

    Helena was pretending to be her innie in S2E01

    Gemma is alive

    Burt is revealed to be still working for Lumon in some capacity

    Mark impregnated Helly

    Jame Eagen will try to replace Helena with her innie

    Several/all non-severed employees have been raised by Lumon since childhood

    All or parts of “the board” are not living humans

    Helena will turn against Lumon

    Lumon killed or somehow hurt Selvig’s mother or other relative

    Mark Scout and Ms Casey / Gamme Scout will be back together

    Lumon’s goal is to use severance to end psychological trauma

    Milchick will turn against Lumon

    Lumon’s goal is to bring back Kier, either as a person or his consciousness in some form

    Lumon is working on technology of resurrection

    Lumon was involved in Gemma's death

    Cobel and Jame Eagen had a child

    Mammalian Nurturables’ outies are prisoners, homeless, and/or addicts

    Helena was pretending to be her innie in S2E01

    Some of Ricken’s eccentric friends (Patton, Rebeck and/or others) are or were severed

    Cobel is Mark’s mother

    Severance was designed for Helena

    Dylan will not stay alive through whole series

    Cobel/Selvig is or was previously severed

    There will be a successful suicide of one of the main characters

    Mark Scout is from Eagan family

    Cobel/Selvig is related by blood to the Eagan family

    Lumon is cloning people

    Miss Huang is from the testing floor

    Miss Huang is a young clone of Ms Casey

    Ms. Casey was a clone in S1

    MDR are working on retrieving/decoding/interpreting the consciousness or memory of dead people

    The goats are grown to be lab-rats for experiments

    100

    100

    89

    83

    82

    78

    70

    64

    62

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    58

    53

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    41

    40

    29

    27

    24

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    22

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    13

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    9

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    4

    0

    0

    0

    Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

    Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    62.44%chance
    555211

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1461

    556

    Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

    Mar 25, 10:17 AMMay 7, 11:59 AM
    553771

    OptionProbability

    Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)

    Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)

    Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)

    Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)

    Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)

    Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)

    Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)

    Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)

    Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)

    Chris Hemsworth (Thor)

    Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)

    Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)

    Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)

    Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)

    Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)

    Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)

    Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)

    Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)

    Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)

    Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)

    Benedict Wong (Wong)

    Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)

    Vin Diesel (Groot)

    Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)

    Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)

    Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)

    Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)

    Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)

    Karen Gillan (Nebula)

    Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)

    David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)

    Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)

    Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)

    Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)

    Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)

    Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)

    Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)

    Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)

    Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)

    Pom Klementieff (Mantis)

    Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)

    Winston Duke (M'Baku)

    Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)

    Paul Bettany (Vision)

    Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)

    Danai Gurira (Okoye)

    Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)

    Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)

    Tom Hiddleston (Loki)

    Mahershala Ali (Blade)

    Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)

    Sean Gunn (Kraglin)

    Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)

    Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)

    Wil Deusner (Skaar)

    Gemma Chan (Sersi)

    Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)

    Lia McHugh (Sprite)

    Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)

    Barry Keoghan (Druig)

    Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)

    Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)

    Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)

    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)

    Ralph Ineson (Galactus)

    Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)

    Seth Green (Howard the Duck)

    Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)

    Dave Bautista (Drax)

    Angelina Jolie (Thena)

    Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)

    Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)

    Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)

    Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)

    May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)

    Emilia Clarke (G'iah)

    Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)

    Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)

    Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)

    Brett Goldstein (Hercules)

    Don Lee (Gilgamesh)

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    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2023

    494

    OptionProbability

    Loki

    Sylvie

    Mr. Fantastic

    Other

    Ant-Man (Lang)

    Spider-Man

    Hawkeye (Barton)

    Captain America (Rogers)

    Iron Man

    Black Widow (Romanoff)

    Nick Fury

    War Machine

    Winter Soldier

    Captain America (Wilson)

    Gamora

    Drax

    Rocket

    Groot

    Nebula

    Vision

    Ultron

    Wasp (Hope)

    Black Panther (T'Challa)

    Black Panther (Shuri)

    Wong

    Mantis

    Valkyrie

    Captain Marvel

    Yelena Belova

    Shang-Chi

    Sersi

    Thena

    Druig

    Makkari

    Kingo

    Phastos

    Phil Coulson

    Daisy Johnson

    Peggy Carter

    Black Bolt

    Daredevil

    Jessica Jones

    Luke Cage

    Iron Fist (Rand)

    Punisher

    Agatha Harkness

    Hawkeye (Bishop)

    Moon Knight

    Ms. Marvel

    Monica Rambeau

    She-Hulk

    Ironheart

    Echo

    Blade

    Wonder Man

    Okoye

    Nova

    Deadpool

    Wolverine

    Werewolf by Night

    The Invisible Woman

    The Thing

    The Human Torch

    Thor

    Hulk

    Thanos

    Star-Lord

    Scarlet Witch

    Doctor Strange

    Adam Warlock

    Kang

    19

    5

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

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    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

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    1

    1

    1

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

    Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    33.12%chance
    7640

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1421

    704

    🌶️ Improve my chili?🌶️ [ADD OPTIONS]

    Jul 18, 10:05 PMDec 31, 10:57 PM
    20509

    OptionProbability

    Decompose it into infinite spheres, then a few parts per sphere, rotate the spheres by arccos(1/3), unite them and you will find 2 chilis (Banach-Tarski)

    Put the chili in a taco

    Tip every user who bet YES on this option 69 Mana while preparing the chili

    Assume the chili is not in the interval [0,1], square it for more chili, if it is in (0,1), take the square root, else (equals 0 or 1) add 1 to it.

    Use sourdough instead of yeast

    Make the chili "bigly"

    Make the chili great again

    Make the chili the bestest, bigliest chili in the land

    Trumpify the chili

    Vote for the chili

    Turn the chili into a metaphor (NOT a simile) for the best moment of your life

    Make the chili "big league"

    Make it edible and throw it in

    Season with your heart

    Get your friends to help you make a batch ten times the size, but add a Pepper X (2.7M Scoville heat units) to the mixture

    Assume the chili is in the interval [0,1], take the square root for less chili, if it is not in (0,1), square it, else (equals 0 or 1) subtract 1 from it.

    Share the chili with no one.

    Assume the chili is continuous. Then find an antiderivative of the chili.

    The

    Reboot the chili

    Translate the chili

    Replace a local church's communion with the chili (you can choose whether it replaces the bread or the wine)

    Put pure resiniferatoxin in it (16 billion scoville heat units)

    Add a teaspoon of powdered thorium (chemical symbol Th)

    Commit armed robbery against the chili for its mana. (the chili's account is @EliezerYudkowsky)

    Take the square root of the chili

    Deport the chili

    Forgo the concept of chili

    AI-generate the chili

    Add a different temperature to the current one

    Use the chili as ink to write in DONALD J TRUMP down the ballot

    Add SpaghettiOs

    Make Chidi's chili from The Good Place (add peeps and M&Ms)

    100

    100

    84

    78

    67

    66

    66

    66

    66

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    41

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    27

    26

    16

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Lucien Presseau

    Eason Brooks

    Daniel Hrycay

    Adam Kornstein

    Aarav Shah

    Morgan Tie

    Other (1)

    Tyler Harris

    John Molica

    Isha Kajani

    Other (2+)

    97

    96

    80

    76

    40

    34

    34

    34

    34

    28

    3

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    392

    97

    OptionProbability

    11

    10

    8 - 9

    0 - 2

    3 - 5

    6 - 7

    66

    24

    5

    1

    1

    1

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