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Prediction markets for MSS

Will Reform win a majority of the seats in the 2026 Senedd election?

Jan 8, 9:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.85%chance

6409

OptionVotes

YES

NO

369

27

Following the 2026 Senedd election, which party will the First Minister of Wales be from?

Oct 24, 5:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8313

OptionProbability

Plaid Cymru

Reform UK

Labour

Other

Conservative

69

24

3

2

1

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