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Prediction markets for MTG

Will MTG Arena become the canonical source of rules functionality by the end of 2026?

Nov 18, 4:53 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

2.95%chance

244638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5391

632

In which year will the next battle be released in MTG?

Jun 9, 3:08 PMDec 31, 4:00 PM

62579

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

After 2030

2025

65

19

4

4

4

2

1

Which MTG cards will be banned from standard before the next early rotation window?

Aug 14, 6:05 PMJun 30, 5:54 PM

81905

OptionProbability

Vivi Ornitier

Proft's Eidetic Memory

Screaming Nemesis

Badgermole Cub

Agatha's Soul Cauldron

Fear of Missing Out

Stock Up

Enduring Curiosity

Superior Spider-Man / Kavaero, Mind-Bitten

Kaito, Bane of Nightmares

100

100

100

10

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will I participate in another MtG Regional Championship before 2027?

Mar 9, 1:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.26%chance

31775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1355

738

Will AI be superhuman at MTG rules by the end of 2030?

Feb 21, 6:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.01%chance

161721

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2210

452

At which MTG Pro Tour will I next register a Constructed Magic deck where Black is a base color?

Mar 5, 11:50 PMMar 30, 10:48 PM

51553

OptionProbability

After PT 1 of 2027

PT Marvel Superheroes

PT 1 2027

PT Secrets of Strixhaven

39

32

27

2

Have we seen the last of MTG?

Dec 1, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.4%chance

191449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1861

537

Will MTG be in the MTG movie?

Dec 1, 6:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 AM

1.39%chance

71325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

841

12

Will any MTG tournament have a prize of at least $200,000 to the winner before 2030?

Jan 30, 5:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

37.44%chance

4229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

86

74

If I run another Manifold MTG tournament, will Zvi enter?

Mar 8, 5:59 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

19.27%chance

10190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

304

145

Will there be perfect MTG counterfeits before 2030?

Jan 30, 5:15 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50.56%chance

7128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

151

98

When will MTG will start becoming less of a collectible assets ?

Apr 20, 2:43 PMApr 27, 2:43 PM

16.09%chance

281

OptionProbability

YES

NO

371

272

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