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Prediction markets for MU

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.31%chance

471128587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11105

10629

Will the Unsong musical be good?

Feb 23, 8:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.83%chance

7184221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

989

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.51%chance

6169704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46020

2173

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

Dec 13, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.47%chance

4361271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11722

4317

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Mar 24, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.78%chance

15155201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16867

9913

Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.74%chance

4122132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23139

4322

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.19%chance

4221426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24591

4071

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.29%chance

12119248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15069

7649

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

1.96%chance

3516750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8275

457

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.44%chance

7915381

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1133

897

Will Micron (MU) close at least 10% above its June 24, 2026 regular-session close by the end of June 25, 2026?

Jun 15, 5:08 PMJun 25, 11:59 PM

78.71%chance

12524

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

52

How much margin will I be using at the end of 2026?

May 11, 5:16 AMMay 11, 5:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

0 - 24,999

25,000 - 49,999

50,000 - 74,999

75,000 - 99,999

100,000+

20

20

20

20

20

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