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Prediction markets for MU

Micron (MNX)

Sep 11, 11:02 PM

194274703

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52.31%chance

474129046

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11076

10681

Will the Unsong musical be good?

Feb 23, 8:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60%chance

7484496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

961

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.63%chance

6476090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

45370

2204

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Mar 24, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.95%chance

15455324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16652

9942

Will building datacenters in the US be much more difficult by mid-2029?

Oct 11, 6:19 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

32.37%chance

8442356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15412

13071

Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.3%chance

5140449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35644

2806

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

8.29%chance

5830374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33270

3010

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.87%chance

12420076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14305

8109

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

2.17%chance

3517355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7670

470

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.02%chance

7915392

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1122

904

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Jul 14, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.59%chance

7575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6240

5801

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