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Prediction markets for Music Publishing

Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?

Dec 1, 12:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.4%chance

383570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1565

879

Will Pitchfork directly publish a music album by the end of 2026?

Oct 2, 8:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.02%chance

5252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

New Mozart work discovered before 2030

Mar 3, 6:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.93%chance

6206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

311

210

Will Pitchfork directly publish a music album by the end of 2027?

Oct 2, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27%chance

264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

When will contactsports release their next album?

Feb 12, 6:12 PMOct 1, 5:11 PM

110

OptionProbability

April-June 2026

February 2026

March 2026

July-September 2026

Oct 2026 or later

33

17

17

17

17

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

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