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Nai News
Prediction markets for Nai
Prediction markets for Nai
SWEATSTINY vs NAILS (Permanent)
Jun 19, 11:53 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
30
5117
Option
Probability
SWEATSTINY
NAILS
66
34
GPT-4 #1: Conditional on being able to use a REPL, will GPT-4 be able to be prompted to write naively malicious code?
Nov 15, 6:21 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
53.66%
chance
32
1555
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1225
592
Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 5 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?
Apr 8, 6:37 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
91.85%
chance
15
558
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1169
959
Nail & Gear Stock
Apr 5, 1:25 PM
Apr 6, 2:59 AM
7
277
Option
Probability
NO
YES
180
124
Will basedbeffjezos end up crucified and nailed to the cross?
Jul 23, 3:59 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.45%
chance
2
22
Option
Votes
YES
NO
121
82
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