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Prediction markets for NANS

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69101750

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Other

Christine Pelosi

Bruce Lou

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

64

20

14

1

1

1

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.64%chance

361361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

819

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.95%chance

91300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3864

3220

In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch?

Jan 7, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

131162

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Other

2029

2024

2025

40

31

13

9

6

0

0

Will Nancy pelosi become a centenarian?

Feb 21, 11:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.09%chance

221153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

879

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

45%chance

20876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

967

When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch? (by month)

Apr 11, 10:07 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

4842

Will nanotechnology wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jun 25, 3:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.08%chance

14535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

940

[ADD ANSWERS] How does one write the "nananana" from Katamari Damacy correctly?

Aug 9, 1:29 AMAug 16, 1:24 AM

9497

OptionProbability

NAAAA NANANANANA NA NA NANA NA NANA NAAAA

ナナ～ナナナナナ～ナ～ナ～ナ、ナ～ナ～ナナ～ナ～

Other

ナナナナナナナナナナナナナナ

NAAAA NA NA NANA NANA NA NA

なななななななななななななな

68

12

8

5

4

4

Will India control either mountain K2 or Nanga Parbat before Jan 1 2027

May 10, 3:08 PMJan 1, 4:01 PM

5.52%chance

6385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

414

24

Will Nancy Pelosi run for reelection in 2026?

Nov 11, 12:07 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

58.12%chance

16343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

When will Oxford Nanopore Technology release a commercial protein sequencing platform?

May 21, 6:51 PMApr 21, 6:47 PM

155

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