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Prediction markets for NAT

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

Mar 8, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

111390777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1785

1512

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.66%chance

235169020

OptionProbability

YES

NO

4766

4764

China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?

Nov 26, 6:18 AMJul 29, 10:59 PM

82.8%chance

68160908

OptionVotes

NO

YES

219379

45583

Will the National Guard kill at least 10 protestors by end of 2026?

Apr 28, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:29 PM

12.1%chance

3127069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26951

3710

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

31.25%chance

5818669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14461

7017

Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.28%chance

3517595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21880

4570

Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM

32.15%chance

2415993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14528

6883

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

42.29%chance

206464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12015

8196

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

975

highest total pr at nats 2026

Apr 18, 4:01 PMMay 1, 10:59 PM

3290

OptionProbability

kian

rohan

kevin

ritwik

suzuko

Other

61

13

12

5

5

5

Will @Nat write a proper bio?

Apr 3, 9:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.02%chance

3243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Will my Pokemon AI win its Nat Dex Monotype Gauntlet?

Dec 30, 3:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.23%chance

3205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

838

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