Nation Media News

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

404391

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Mar 30, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

52.81%chance

342621

OptionVotes

YES

1341

762

Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?

Jan 10, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.52%chance

212049

OptionVotes

YES

1586

631

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.29%chance

231058

OptionVotes

YES

1185

864

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

34.36%chance

201053

OptionVotes

YES

1126

908

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

21.94%chance

14672

OptionVotes

YES

1338

873

What is true about Erika Kirk (Charlie Kirk’s widow) after the funeral ceremony.

Sep 25, 10:42 AMDec 31, 11:10 AM

12434

OptionProbability

Will she be involved in national media coverage or controversy within 12 months?

She will release at least one book

She will run for political office in the next 2/3 years

She will take Charlie’s place in public debates and public appearances.

She will start a podcast channel

Will Brazil grant marketing approval to polylaminin before 2028?

Sep 11, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.35%chance

5365

OptionVotes

YES

1241

805

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

53.61%chance

7311

OptionVotes

YES

1075

930

Straw Hat protests continue in 2026

Jan 6, 4:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

59.02%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

1200

833

Conservationists purchase Rothbury estate (England's largest land sale in 30 years)?

Oct 29, 11:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

53.75%chance

378

OptionVotes

YES

1078

928

Will the leader of a nonwestern nuclear power make an extremely ASI-pilled public statement before 2031?

Jan 12, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.61%chance

334

OptionVotes

YES

1008

992

Nation Media News

Prediction markets for Nation Media

Prediction markets for Nation Media

Prediction markets for Nation Media

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

What is true about Erika Kirk (Charlie Kirk’s widow) after the funeral ceremony.

Will Brazil grant marketing approval to polylaminin before 2028?

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

Straw Hat protests continue in 2026

Conservationists purchase Rothbury estate (England's largest land sale in 30 years)?

Will the leader of a nonwestern nuclear power make an extremely ASI-pilled public statement before 2031?

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