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National Academies News
Prediction markets for National Academies
Prediction markets for National Academies
Will Tianwen-3 launch before 2030?
Sep 23, 12:15 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
60%
chance
18
9844
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1222
116
Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission launch before 2026?
Sep 23, 12:13 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
99%
chance
2
818
Option
Votes
NO
YES
890
9
Will CNSA's Chang'e 8 mission successfully land on the moon?
Sep 16, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
75.98%
chance
13
491
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1350
844
Will CNSA's Chang'e 7 mission successfully land on the moon?
Sep 23, 2:22 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
89.64%
chance
5
300
Option
Votes
NO
YES
295
59
Will NASA approve the Uranus Orbiter before 2030?
Mar 30, 10:44 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
33.78%
chance
4
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
82
Will Tianwen-3 successfully land on Mars?
Sep 23, 12:15 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
72.87%
chance
4
75
Option
Votes
NO
YES
187
99
Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with a comet?
Sep 23, 5:07 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
74.72%
chance
4
65
Option
Votes
NO
YES
179
104
Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?
Sep 23, 12:16 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
45.83%
chance
5
60
Option
Votes
NO
YES
111
107
Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with an asteroid?
Sep 23, 12:12 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
72.64%
chance
3
60
Option
Votes
NO
YES
152
86
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