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Top stories

Morena to Vote on Lauta Itzel Castillo August 28 as Monreal Confirms PAN Will Preside Mesa Directiva de San Lázaro

Morena to Vote on Lauta Itzel Castillo August 28 as Monreal Confirms PAN Will Preside Mesa Directiva de San Lázaro

Authors

5

8 months ago

Prediction markets for National Action Party

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

22%chance

783394355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7386

3139

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93132

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

31

16

15

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026

Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM

12.17%chance

14558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

Will the government of a European country propose to withdraw from NATO before August 1, 2026?

Apr 7, 11:50 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

15.64%chance

6201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

232

43

Will Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.74%chance

3125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

71

If the AfD enters the federal government after the next Bundestag election, will §86a StGB be repealed or altered?

Jan 20, 8:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.35%chance

3116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Will MBG get defunded before 2027?

Mar 12, 5:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.86%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

Will Guan Heng be deported from the US to China?

Dec 15, 7:21 AMJun 30, 7:05 AM

20%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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