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Prediction markets for National Action Party
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
8.77%chance
793414172
OptionVotes
14104
2043
Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
125404
OptionProbability
45
31
15
15
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM
4.52%chance
21731
OptionVotes
460
22
When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race?
Jun 14, 7:25 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
4488
OptionProbability
16
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
5
5
Of these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?
May 17, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6401
OptionProbability
54
38
38
37
31
24
24
21
16
16
16
16
9
Will Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Jan 21, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.74%chance
3125
OptionVotes
142
71
If the AfD enters the federal government after the next Bundestag election, will §86a StGB be repealed or altered?
Jan 20, 8:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.35%chance
3116
OptionVotes
198
51
OptionVotes
171
59
Will Reiner Fuellmich's Nuremberg 2.0 become a reality before 2050?
Oct 31, 6:02 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM
8.43%chance
130
OptionVotes
130
97