National Bank News

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

YES

1067

932

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Apr 21, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.93%chance

102438

OptionVotes

YES

1944

515

Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?

Mar 23, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

152046

OptionProbability

European Central Bank

Bank of Japan

Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Bank of England

Bank of Korea

US Federal Reserve

Reserve Bank of India

Bank of Canada

Swiss National Bank

People’s Bank of China

100

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.07%chance

191743

OptionVotes

YES

2130

470

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)

Feb 26, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.89%chance

361151

OptionVotes

YES

2180

1894

Will China collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

Apr 26, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

11875

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will Israel's GDP/capita pass the USA's by 2070?

Jan 16, 2:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37.24%chance

7405

OptionVotes

YES

1298

770

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)

Mar 1, 3:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.06%chance

7377

OptionVotes

YES

246

215

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

4007

3989

Who will be the next president of the National Bank of Poland, after Glapiński?

Dec 5, 8:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

364

OptionProbability

Sławomir Dudek

Andrzej Domański

Other

Leszek Balcerowicz

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

Jan 2, 1:26 AMNov 24, 1:00 AM

262

OptionProbability

Immigration (6,725)

Drug Offenses (63,376)

Weapons, Explosives, Arson (31,700)

Burglary, Larceny, Property Offenses (7,195)

Extortion, Fraud, Bribery (5,626)

Homicide, Aggravated Assault, and Kidnapping Offenses (4,998)

Robbery (3,717)

Miscellaneous (934)

Other: Banking and Insurance, Counterfeit, Embezzlement, Continuing Criminal Enterprise, Courts or Corrections, National Security (1,084)

Sex Offenses (19,177)

National Bank News

Prediction markets for National Bank

Prediction markets for National Bank

Prediction markets for National Bank

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)

Will China collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

Will Israel's GDP/capita pass the USA's by 2070?

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Who will be the next president of the National Bank of Poland, after Glapiński?

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

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