National Bank News

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?

Mar 23, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

275673

OptionProbability

US Federal Reserve

European Central Bank

Bank of Japan

Bank of Korea

Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Bank of England

Reserve Bank of India

Bank of Canada

Swiss National Bank

People’s Bank of China

100

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

YES

1117

894

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

2102

476

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)

Feb 26, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.89%chance

361151

OptionVotes

YES

2180

1894

Will China collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

Apr 26, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

11875

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will an AI Event/Consequence cause a recession by end of 2030?

Aug 14, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

4864

OptionVotes

YES

1830

547

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.59%chance

6415

OptionVotes

YES

4357

3816

Will Israel's GDP/capita pass the USA's by 2070?

Jan 16, 2:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37.24%chance

7405

OptionVotes

YES

1298

770

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)

Mar 1, 3:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.06%chance

7377

OptionVotes

YES

246

215

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

Jan 2, 1:26 AMNov 24, 1:00 AM

3102

OptionProbability

Immigration (6,725)

Weapons, Explosives, Arson (31,700)

Other: Banking and Insurance, Counterfeit, Embezzlement, Continuing Criminal Enterprise, Courts or Corrections, National Security (1,084)

Drug Offenses (63,376)

Burglary, Larceny, Property Offenses (7,195)

Extortion, Fraud, Bribery (5,626)

Homicide, Aggravated Assault, and Kidnapping Offenses (4,998)

Robbery (3,717)

Sex Offenses (19,177)

Miscellaneous (934)

Who will be the next president of the National Bank of Poland, after Glapiński?

Dec 5, 8:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

364

OptionProbability

Sławomir Dudek

Andrzej Domański

Other

Leszek Balcerowicz

National Bank News

Prediction markets for National Bank

Prediction markets for National Bank

Prediction markets for National Bank

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)

Will China collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

Will an AI Event/Consequence cause a recession by end of 2030?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will Israel's GDP/capita pass the USA's by 2070?

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

Who will be the next president of the National Bank of Poland, after Glapiński?

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