National Bank News

2 days ago

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

42%chance

372766

OptionVotes

YES

1206

796

New country buys Bitcoin in 2025?

Jan 15, 1:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61.99%chance

151645

OptionVotes

YES

1277

783

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)

Feb 26, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.86%chance

361150

OptionVotes

YES

2183

1893

Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?

Jun 14, 11:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

21.06%chance

81028

OptionVotes

YES

1936

516

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

1528

655

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Jul 29, 8:41 PMSep 25, 11:59 PM

57.8%chance

10510

OptionVotes

YES

1170

854

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)

Mar 1, 3:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.06%chance

7377

OptionVotes

YES

246

215

Will Israel's GDP/capita pass the USA's by 2070?

Jan 16, 2:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.13%chance

5145

OptionVotes

YES

1038

963

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

4007

3989

Who will be the next president of the National Bank of Poland, after Glapiński?

Dec 5, 8:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

244

OptionProbability

Sławomir Dudek

Andrzej Domański

Leszek Balcerowicz

Other

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

Jan 2, 1:26 AMNov 24, 1:00 AM

112

OptionProbability

Drug Offenses (63,376)

Immigration (6,725)

Weapons, Explosives, Arson (31,700)

Burglary, Larceny, Property Offenses (7,195)

Extortion, Fraud, Bribery (5,626)

Homicide, Aggravated Assault, and Kidnapping Offenses (4,998)

Robbery (3,717)

Miscellaneous (934)

Other: Banking and Insurance, Counterfeit, Embezzlement, Continuing Criminal Enterprise, Courts or Corrections, National Security (1,084)

Sex Offenses (19,177)

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Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

New country buys Bitcoin in 2025?

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)

Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)

Will Israel's GDP/capita pass the USA's by 2070?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Who will be the next president of the National Bank of Poland, after Glapiński?

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

Latest stories

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