National Court News

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

26.4%chance

784395091

OptionVotes

YES

6391

3455

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.98%chance

25979322

OptionVotes

YES

9468

4190

Next airline to default

Nov 20, 7:54 PMDec 20, 7:47 PM

1420196

OptionProbability

Frontier

No default amongst those listed before 2030

JetBlue

Bermudair

Avelo

United

American

Southwest

Alaska

Air Canada

Ryanair

Qantas

Cathay Pacific

KLM

Turkish Airlines

Qatar Airlines

Virgin Atlantic

Iberia

LATAM

Aeromexico

Allegiant Air

Breeze

Sun Country

Lufthansa

Emirates

Singapore Airlines

ANA

Air New Zealand

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

9213274

OptionVotes

YES

1201

833

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

24.34%chance

789595

OptionVotes

YES

1763

567

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.52%chance

85947

OptionVotes

YES

13772

7261

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

YES

1117

894

Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?

Dec 12, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.27%chance

191582

OptionVotes

YES

1675

597

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.79%chance

81263

OptionVotes

YES

1432

698

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

1448

691

Will Senegal be officially reinstated as champions of the Africa Cup of Nations?

Mar 23, 6:39 AMJun 23, 5:32 AM

44%chance

8560

OptionVotes

YES

1398

366

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

Jan 2, 1:26 AMNov 24, 1:00 AM

3102

OptionProbability

Immigration (6,725)

Weapons, Explosives, Arson (31,700)

Other: Banking and Insurance, Counterfeit, Embezzlement, Continuing Criminal Enterprise, Courts or Corrections, National Security (1,084)

Drug Offenses (63,376)

Burglary, Larceny, Property Offenses (7,195)

Extortion, Fraud, Bribery (5,626)

Homicide, Aggravated Assault, and Kidnapping Offenses (4,998)

Robbery (3,717)

Sex Offenses (19,177)

Miscellaneous (934)

National Court News

Prediction markets for National Court

Prediction markets for National Court

Prediction markets for National Court

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Next airline to default

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

Will Senegal be officially reinstated as champions of the Africa Cup of Nations?

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

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