National Court News

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

32%chance

681289523

OptionVotes

YES

5426

3847

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.83%chance

18878430

OptionVotes

YES

1220

873

Will Nasry Asfura win the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election?

Oct 4, 5:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.98%chance

5466316

OptionVotes

YES

2133

469

Next airline to default

Nov 20, 7:54 PMDec 20, 7:47 PM

1017501

OptionProbability

No default amongst those listed before 2030

Bermudair

JetBlue

Avelo

Frontier

Allegiant Air

United

American

Southwest

Alaska

Lufthansa

Emirates

Singapore Airlines

Air Canada

Ryanair

Qantas

Cathay Pacific

KLM

Turkish Airlines

Qatar Airlines

ANA

Virgin Atlantic

Iberia

LATAM

Aeromexico

Air New Zealand

Breeze

Sun Country

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

52.48%chance

8912775

OptionVotes

YES

1051

952

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

52.64%chance

393991

OptionVotes

YES

996

983

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

10480

9542

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

121332

OptionVotes

YES

1836

545

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.07%chance

91052

OptionVotes

YES

1104

906

US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox?

Jun 11, 2:25 PMDec 31, 3:21 PM

56.37%chance

13704

OptionVotes

YES

1137

880

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?

Sep 10, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.51%chance

16348

OptionVotes

YES

1148

939

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

Jan 2, 1:26 AMNov 24, 1:00 AM

112

OptionProbability

Drug Offenses (63,376)

Immigration (6,725)

Weapons, Explosives, Arson (31,700)

Burglary, Larceny, Property Offenses (7,195)

Extortion, Fraud, Bribery (5,626)

Homicide, Aggravated Assault, and Kidnapping Offenses (4,998)

Robbery (3,717)

Miscellaneous (934)

Other: Banking and Insurance, Counterfeit, Embezzlement, Continuing Criminal Enterprise, Courts or Corrections, National Security (1,084)

Sex Offenses (19,177)

National Court News

Prediction markets for National Court

Prediction markets for National Court

Prediction markets for National Court

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Will Nasry Asfura win the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election?

Next airline to default

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox?

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?

US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?

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