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Top stories

UK Power Bills Climb Again as Surging Costs Jeopardise Net-Zero Goal

UK Power Bills Climb Again as Surging Costs Jeopardise Net-Zero Goal

Authors

15

5 months ago

Prediction markets for National Grid

Which year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?

Nov 17, 10:12 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

282008

OptionProbability

Will not happen by the end of 2040

2035

2034

2033

2036

2030 or earlier

2037

2031

2032

2038

2039

2040

46

17

13

8

6

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

Will Texas experience blackouts this Winter?

Sep 26, 12:38 AMMar 20, 11:59 PM

6%chance

211974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

399

25

Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2030?

Aug 21, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.96%chance

261503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1281

919

Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?

Aug 22, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.5%chance

151112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

936

How many nuclear reactors will Spain have in 2028?

May 3, 4:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8387

OptionProbability

6

7

Below 6

Above 7

36

27

11

4

Will there be a fusion reactor generating electricity commercially by the end of 2035?

Dec 4, 1:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

9379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Singapore have a working nuclear power plant by 2035?

Jul 30, 11:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

6106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

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