OptionVotes
NO
YES
7846
5630
OptionProbability
call someone retarded through text or speech
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
A literal red line on the ground/floor
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela
Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Stays alive
pass 500 or more executive orders
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
new blockade of a country
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
put his name on a ship in the navy
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
File lawsuit against a congressperson
Revoke ten or more citizenships
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
Says 6 7 (or variant)
Dep
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
Trump will pardon those involved before the sentencing - medical fraud schemes
ten or more protestors killed during term
Causes Tina Peters' early release
resume buying oil from Russia
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
Mandate teaching Arabic numerals in East (American) Samoan schools
postpones or cancels 2026 senate elections in at least one state
Pardon himself
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
Raise the retirement age for social security
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
Nominate a family member to high office
Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
Kidnap *another* head of state (after Maduro)
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
Call for the end of the Senate
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
add a new federal holiday in his honor
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
have a journalist arrested
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
Pardon a convicted pedophile
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
host putin at mar a lago
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
Salute Putin
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
department of defense renamed to Dept of war
Get rid of Noaa.
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
Implement a federal abortion ban
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
force a former president to testify before Congress
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
Pardon p diddy
stops all sanctions on Russia
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground
Deploy US troops into any of 83 Federal subjects of Russian Federation (or announce that)
Withdraw from NATO
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Implement a federal age of consent
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
All 10 of the 10 largest protests in the USA happen under trump
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
repeal Obamacare
pardon derek chauvin
admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely
Add a citizenship question to the census
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
Enact price controls on groceries
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
actually disinter bodies from another country
Call for the end of child marriage
Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
orders arrests of any Biden family member
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
Prosecute someone for flag burning
His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory
Announce he’s running for a third term
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
all time high unemployment reached
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
Replace his Vice President
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
Causes derek chauvin's early release
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
Attack a NATO ally.
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
expand the borders of the usa
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
fauci in jail at least one week
take control of a part of ukraine
add a new state
pardon george santos
take state ownership in an airline
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
ban trans people from holding federal offices
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
Annex any part of Mexico
ends black history month
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
take control of a part of greenland
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.
Call for the end of gay marriage
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
Postpone the elections due to emergency
make statements that are negative about labubu
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
fully nationalize an airline
stop California from hosting the Olympics
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
change the borders of a state
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
repeal an amendment
declares a white history month
Call for the end of the House of Reps
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
Call for the end of interracial marriage
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
bans anime
Wearing a white dress after labor day
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
bans 6 7
Kidnap the Pope
100
100
100
100
100
95
88
88
84
83
82
80
80
75
72
71
70
69
69
69
69
68
67
64
62
60
57
55
53
52
52
50
47
45
44
44
43
42
41
40
40
39
38
38
36
36
36
36
35
34
34
34
34
33
33
33
33
33
32
31
31
31
30
30
30
29
29
29
28
28
28
28
27
27
27
27
27
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
25
25
25
25
25
24
24
23
23
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
Iran and Israel both sign (or publicly accept) a written cease-fire or peace agreement, and no lethal exchange of fire between their regular forces occurs for the following 30 consecutive days
A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Israel
Thailand's Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra resigns
Government official from Mexico attends the 2025 BRICS Summit
Iran - Israel War ends in 2025 (ceasefire last at least 90 days (September 22, 2025) or peace deal is signed)
A new non-majority Muslim (according to CIA Factbook) state becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
≥ 25 fatalities in Cambodia-Thailand border clashes
DRC & Rwanda sign USA-brokered peace agreement
≥ 1,500 Palestinians killed near Gaza aid hubs
Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire in 2025
Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ends in ceasefire before October 1, 2025
Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash ceasefire is broken
Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash reignites (fighting resumes)
Indonesia becomes a member of BRICS
World leader of 20m+ population country is assassinated
United States government arrests president Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela
Saudi Arabia prices oil exports to China in Yuan (CNY)
India's 2026-2027 Defence Budget exceeds ₹7.5 lakh crore
A new cease-fire between Iran and United States OR Israel is declared post Feb 28, 2026
United States troops enter Iran
Donald Trump and Iran work out a "deal" to cease hostilities (even temporarily)
Benjamin Netanyahu alive as of April 30, 2026
Russia remains a permanent member of UN Security Council
Xi Jinping remains General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party
Kim Jong Un remains General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea (or equivalent title)
Vladimir Putin remains President of Russia
Donald Trump remains President of USA
Claudia Sheinbaum remains President of Mexico
An armed non-state group captures and holds the capital city of a UN-recognised state for ≥72 hours
Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President of Ukraine
Ukraine - Russia War halted by Ceasefire
Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba
At any point more than 5,000 USA National Guard Troops domestically deployed
Algeria becomes a member of BRICS
Min Aung Hlaing ceases to serve as either (a) Chairman of the State Administration Council or (b) Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces
Iran and Israel agree to a Cease Fire
A cyber-attack officially attributed to a foreign state actor causes ≥US $1 billion in insured losses to a single country
123
Hostile military action by United States against Cuba
USA and Iran agree to a new cease fire post April 10, 2026
North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test
A 5th-generation fighter jet is confirmed to have been destroyed in air/shot down (not including being damaged from an airfield bombing)
A drone attacks a head of state (hits or lands within 30 meters)
A country declares war on Israel
A state shoot-down of a spacecraft or satellite in orbit is publicly confirmed
At least 5,000 uniformed personnel belonging to a UN-Security-Council-authorized security or peace-keeping mission are physically deployed in Haiti
A cease-fire or peace deal is violated by Iran
Nigeria becomes a member of BRICS
Oil prices reach $150 USD a barrel
Benjamin Netanyahu remains Prime Minister of Israel
A new ceasefire between Israel and Gaza is announced by Donald Trump
A peace treaty ending the Ethiopia–Tigray conflict is signed and remains unbroken for 90 days
Ukraine - Russia War ends with a peace treaty
Azerbaijan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
Iran undergoes a regime change
Turkey invokes NATO Article 4 consultations
Autonomous lethal drones (no human on the kill-decision loop) are acknowledged by any state to have been used in combat
The U.S. suffers ≥50 combat fatalities in a single new overseas operation—defined as a country where no U.S. combat deaths occurred in 2024
Russia sells or scraps it's only aircraft carrier; the Admiral Kuznetsov
Any country leaves NATO
A head of state from a G20 country is assassinated
Russian armed forces intentionally attack uniformed personnel or sovereign assets of any NATO member state, or vice-versa
Kazakhstan becomes a member of BRICS
North Korea provides missile(s) to Iran
Non-PSUV candidate inaugurated as next President of Venezuela
China declares an air- or maritime-exclusion zone covering any part of Taiwan’s territorial sea or airspace
Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Europe
1+ deaths attributed to a rogue AI
Trump, Putin, & Zelensky meet together in the same room
Izz al-Din al-Haddad remains leader of Hamas
USA performs military action (troops/special forces deployed or airstrike/missile strike) in Mexico resulting in confirmed deaths
An armed clash between India and Pakistan results in ≥100 military fatalities in a 7-day period
Vladimir Putin is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)
Any NATO country formally declares war on another country
Saudi Arabia becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
Iran ceases to exist as a sovereign nation
160 UN Nations simultaneously officially regonize Palestine's statehood.
Any signatory of the CTBT tests a nuclear weapon
A country declares war on United States
The IAEA publicly reports that Iran possesses uranium enriched to ≥90 % U-235
Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United States
At least three sovereign states outside NATO, EU, ANZUS, or the Quad sign a formal mutual-defence treaty deposited with the UN Treaty Series
Any EU member invokes Article 42 (7) of the Treaty on European Union in response to an armed attack
Successful military coup in Venezuela
Uniformed armed forces in any G20 member state attempt to seize executive power from the constitutional head of government
Japan launches a domestically-built intermediate-range ballistic missile (>3 000 km advertised range) test
Mexico becomes a member of BRICS
Bangladesh becomes a member of BRICS
Syria becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
China invades Taiwan
United States formally declares war on Iran
Sudanese Civil War ends
Iraq becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
A leader of a country is tried and executed by a UN recognized state.
Jordan becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
Libya becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
North Korea - South Korea results in any civilian deaths
China formally declares war on another country
Egypt formally declares war on another country
Iran loses territory
A nation officially announces AGI has been achieved
An armed clash in the Shaksgam Valley between India & China resulting in ≥10 fatalities in a 7-day period
The Arctic Council is formally suspended or dissolved by unanimous vote
Azerbaijani troops enter Iran
Venezuela becomes a member of BRICS
Any hostile military forces are deployed on Israeli soil
A vessel larger than 50,000 deadweight tons is damaged or sunk by a naval mine in the Strait of Hormuz
China becomes militarily involved in Cambodia - Thailand Border Clash
A country announces magnetic-fusion net-positive energy
Benjamin Netanyahu is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)
Armenia undergoes a regime change as the result of a military coup
Israel loses territory
USA leaves NATO
Ukraine ceases to exist as a sovereign state
Iranian troops enter Israel
United Kingdom formally states intention to begin process to reverse "Brexit"
Lebanon becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
United Nations Security Council adopts (i.e., passes without veto) a formal resolution that explicitly condemns Israel’s use of lethal force against civilians seeking humanitarian aid in Gaza or demands Israel cease such force
Burj Khalifa destroyed via hostile action
India's Prime Minister Modi steps down or announces a successor
The Government of Denmark publicly acknowledges receipt of a formal written offer from Donald J. Trump or his officially empowered representatives to transfer sovereignty over Greenland to the United States
Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in Canada
Palestine is granted full United Nations Membership
Bashar Al-Assad is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)
World Health Organization (WHO) declares a Chikungunya virus pandemic
United States formally declares war on another country
United States Military personnel deaths greater than or equal to 15 in Israel borders during 2026
Any current G-20 member state ceases to be listed as a United Nations Member State
Argentina becomes a member of BRICS
Iran becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
Qatar becomes a signatory of the Abraham Accords
At least one nuclear explosive device is detonated with the intent to harm a state’s armed forces or civilian population
Ukraine becomes a formal NATO member
Israel annexes 100% of Gaza
Donald Trump is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)
Saudi Arabia signs a written, mutual-defence pact with China or Russia
Major terrorist attack (50+ killed) occurs in United Kingdom
Israel conducts military operation in Cyprus
Major News sources consistently identify a conflict as WWIII
Any Canadian territory becomes part of US territory
Kim Jong Un is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)
Two states engage in a nuclear exchange (both attempt to deliver a nuclear device within the borders of the other)
Israel annexes any portion of Iran
Any United States of America state formally states intent to begin process to secede
Whole of Greenland becomes USA territory
Alberta begins process of becoming a USA state
Any US territory comes under Canadian administration
Extraterrestrials making contact with earth is widely acknowledged
Humans will extinct
Israel ceases to exist as a sovereign nation
Yahya Sinwar is formally charged and tried for war crimes by an international tribunal or court with recognized jurisdiction (e.g., ICC)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
97
96
96
86
85
75
67
66
65
58
54
53
52
52
51
51
50
50
48
48
48
48
45
45
45
45
45
43
43
42
42
42
42
41
40
40
40
40
39
38
38
38
37
36
36
36
36
36
36
35
35
34
33
33
32
32
32
31
31
30
30
30
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
27
27
26
25
25
25
25
25
25
24
24
23
23
23
23
22
22
21
21
20
20
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
17
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
12
12
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
7
7
7
6
6
5
5
3
3
2
1
1
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
38618
2593
OptionProbability
Is a man
Is under 30 years old
Has military background
Is charged with murder before 2026
Is alive on 12/31/2025
Is cited by Trump administration as a reason for deploying more troops to any city by 12/31/2025
Is white and not hispanic
Is used as a pretext to restrict immigration
Was acting alone
Has ties to extremist groups
Has ever been diagnosed with a mental health condition
Has the death penalty sought against him by the prosecution
Accepts a plea deal instead of going to trial
Is convicted in relation to these crimes by 1/1/2027
Has been awarded for services to the United States
Was motivated by political ideology
Has been convicted of a felony
Was intoxicated at the time of the shooting
Had the firearm used in the crime legally
Is a U.S. citizen
Registered as a Democrat or voted in a Democratic primary
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
91
82
75
68
56
50
40
21
19
12
4
0
0
OptionProbability
Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st
Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom
Evan permabanned from Manifold
Charlie Kirk is the most viewed article on Wikipedia in 2025
Any left-wing group is legally designated as a "terrorist organization"
Jimmy Kimmel is reinstated.
Jimmy Kimmel returns to air on Sinclair stations
Charlie Kirk dies
Charlie Kirk remains no longer alive
Over 1 million combined lifetime student memberships and faith initiatives by Nov 2026
The Trump Admin fails to issue any federal policies to protect campus speakers before 2027.
government employee fired for personal statements on kirk is reinstated or wins employment/first amendment lawsuit about firing
At least once person is hospitalized or killed in a violent incident started by someone who thinks they are retaliating for Kirk's death
South Park does an episode that alludes to it
event with left leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting
At least 10 people deported because of anti-Charlie Kirk comments
Jezebel writer Claire Guinan testifies that she doesn't believe in witchcraft.
NYT reporter / opinion columnist fired
Search warrant/subpoena executed against a journalist citing social media posts about the shooting
South Park episode canceled (not delayed)
Another political assassination (either side)
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act and/or declares martial law.
Trump initiates a large-scale crackdown on civil liberties in response.
Any House Democrat is censured for comments on Kirk.
The FCC revokes a station’s broadcast license over any misinformation about Kirk.
event with right leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting
BBC does piece on furries that mentions Tyler Robinson
"Groyper War 3" declared by Nick Fuentes or one of his generals
Statue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol
Information reward money paid
high ranking fed (elected, political appointee, or LEO) acting in an official capacity names a suspect later exonerated
Actblue specifically is labelled a terrorist organization or shut down
arson attack against gender clinic
A prominent anti-Trump journalist is arrested.
At least one furry convention canceled
Robinson's roommate charged with any crime related to the assassination
Jimmy Fallon fired, or show cancelled.
TPUSA supports a gun control bill
Any Democratic politician is arrested
5+ reporters/columnists fired (across any outlets)
Upcoming issues of Absolute Batman pulled
Search warrant/subpoena executed against an individual citing social media posts about the shooting
Federal investigation started into "funders" of "the left"
Any news organization is shut down
Any left-wing NGO is shut down
A member of a prominent left-leaning organization is arrested.
A furry website is hacked and the users are doxxed
80s-style moral panic over furries
Another left-wing group is legally declared a terrorist organization.
"Jimmy Kimmel Live!" ends, or Jimmy Kimmel is fired/resigns
Seth Meyers fired, or show cancelled.
Increased stigma towards sexual "deviants" in the US
Federal bill named in tribute to Charlie Kirk is signed into law
At least 100 people are arrested on Antifa charges.
Federal bill/EO to restrict/prevent transgender gun ownership
America becomes a one-party GOP state.
National Guard deployed to anywhere in Utah (explicitly linked to Kirk)
Kash Patel fired
South Park canceled
Kirk or the assassination referenced explicitly in super bowl ad
Discord or Bluesky removed from the App Store or Play Store
5 swatting attacks reported on (not before) 9/12
Trump receives a “rally around the flag” bump in approval ratings (net approval increases by more than 3 points in the following two weeks according to silver bulletin)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
83
79
59
56
36
33
31
30
25
24
24
23
22
21
21
20
18
18
17
15
15
15
15
14
13
12
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
4
1
0
0
OptionProbability
The ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities
ICE kills another civilian
The office of the Minnesota governor deploys the Minnesota National Guard
The killer will be given medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program (type shit)
An ICE agent is killed
Trump deploys the National Guard to Minnesota
Trump pardons the ICE agent
George Floyd-level protests
Kristi Noem is impeached
Trump declares a national emergency that could be used to justify postponing or interfering with the next election.
The ICE agent is fired
Insurrection Act/Martial Law in Minneapolis
Nothing
Nationwide firearm ban for civilians
53
52
39
35
32
28
22
18
14
14
12
9
4
4
OptionProbability
"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"
empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs
"lower taxes"
"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"
"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"
"open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"
"order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"
"end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"
"ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"
"reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"
"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"
"stop all COVID mandates"
"keep men out of women’s sports"
"deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"
"more jobs for American workers"
"deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"
"choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"
"get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"
"cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"
"strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"
"uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"
"bigger paychecks"
"implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"
"put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"
"build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"
"surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"
"adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"
"banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"
"banning federal agencies from censoring speech"
"a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"
"enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"
"cut the number of school administrators"
"stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"
declassify the 'Epstein files'
"pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"
"deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"
"veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"
"increase fairness through price transparency"
"passing a digital bill of rights"
"reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"
"get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"
"continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"
"create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"
"protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"
"firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"
"ban private money from pouring into local election offices"
"end surprise medical billing"
"ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"
"reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"
"reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"
"impose a total naval embargo on cartels"
"a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"
"a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"
"implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"
"a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"
"keep America out of unnecessary foreign wars"
100
88
82
74
71
71
66
63
63
63
63
58
57
56
53
50
47
45
45
44
44
42
42
42
42
40
40
40
40
39
37
36
36
35
34
31
31
31
30
28
27
27
26
26
24
23
19
18
18
17
16
16
13
11
7
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2206
453
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1682
595
OptionVotes
YES
NO
287
92
OptionVotes
YES
NO
159
63



