National Guard News

YES

YES

Is a man

Is under 30 years old

Has military background

Is charged with murder before 2026

Is cited by Trump administration as a reason for deploying more troops to any city by 12/31/2025

Is white and not hispanic

Is used as a pretext to restrict immigration

Is alive on 12/31/2025

Has ties to extremist groups

Has ever been diagnosed with a mental health condition

Was acting alone

Has the death penalty sought against him by the prosecution

Accepts a plea deal instead of going to trial

Is convicted in relation to these crimes by 1/1/2027

Has been awarded for services to the United States

Was motivated by political ideology

Has been convicted of a felony

Was intoxicated at the time of the shooting

Had the firearm used in the crime legally

Is a U.S. citizen

Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st

Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom

Evan permabanned from Manifold

Any left-wing group is legally designated as a "terrorist organization"

Jimmy Kimmel is reinstated.

Jimmy Kimmel returns to air on Sinclair stations

Charlie Kirk dies

Charlie Kirk remains no longer alive

government employee fired for personal statements on kirk is reinstated or wins employment/first amendment lawsuit about firing

South Park does an episode that alludes to it

Over 1 million combined lifetime student memberships and faith initiatives by Nov 2026

Increased stigma towards sexual "deviants" in the US

Federal investigation started into "funders" of "the left"

Another left-wing group is legally declared a terrorist organization.

At least 10 people deported because of anti-Charlie Kirk comments

A member of a prominent left-leaning organization is arrested.

Another political assassination (either side)

event with left leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

Search warrant/subpoena executed against an individual citing social media posts about the shooting

Federal bill/EO to restrict/prevent transgender gun ownership

At least once person is hospitalized or killed in a violent incident started by someone who thinks they are retaliating for Kirk's death

The FCC revokes a station’s broadcast license over any misinformation about Kirk.

Seth Meyers fired, or show cancelled.

Any House Democrat is censured for comments on Kirk.

Search warrant/subpoena executed against a journalist citing social media posts about the shooting

Jimmy Fallon fired, or show cancelled.

"Groyper War 3" declared by Nick Fuentes or one of his generals

South Park episode canceled (not delayed)

Jezebel writer Claire Guinan testifies that she doesn't believe in witchcraft.

arson attack against gender clinic

BBC does piece on furries that mentions Tyler Robinson

80s-style moral panic over furries

Trump invokes the Insurrection Act and/or declares martial law.

Actblue specifically is labelled a terrorist organization or shut down

A furry website is hacked and the users are doxxed

event with right leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

A prominent anti-Trump journalist is arrested.

Upcoming issues of Absolute Batman pulled

Statue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol

Information reward money paid

high ranking fed (elected, political appointee, or LEO) acting in an official capacity names a suspect later exonerated

At least one furry convention canceled

Robinson's roommate charged with any crime related to the assassination

TPUSA supports a gun control bill

Any Democratic politician is arrested

5+ reporters/columnists fired (across any outlets)

Kirk or the assassination referenced explicitly in super bowl ad

Any news organization is shut down

Any left-wing NGO is shut down

South Park canceled

NYT reporter / opinion columnist fired

"Jimmy Kimmel Live!" ends, or Jimmy Kimmel is fired/resigns

Federal bill named in tribute to Charlie Kirk is signed into law

Kash Patel fired

At least 100 people are arrested on Antifa charges.

National Guard deployed to anywhere in Utah (explicitly linked to Kirk)

Charlie Kirk is the most viewed article on Wikipedia in 2025

Trump initiates a large-scale crackdown on civil liberties in response.

Discord or Bluesky removed from the App Store or Play Store

America becomes a one-party GOP state.

5 swatting attacks reported on (not before) 9/12

"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"

"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

"end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"

empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

"lower taxes"

"deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"

"keep men out of women’s sports"

"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

"open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"

"order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"

"reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"

"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"

"stop all COVID mandates"

"more jobs for American workers"

"deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"

"cut the number of school administrators"

"choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"

"cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"

"ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"

"strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"

"uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"

"bigger paychecks"

"implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"

"put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"

"build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"

"surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"

"adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"

"banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"

"banning federal agencies from censoring speech"

"passing a digital bill of rights"

"enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"

declassify the 'Epstein files'

"stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"

"create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"

"pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"

"deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"

"veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"

"increase fairness through price transparency"

"reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"

"get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"

"continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"

"protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"

"reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"

"firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"

"ban private money from pouring into local election offices"

"get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"

"a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"

"end surprise medical billing"

"ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"

"reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"

"impose a total naval embargo on cartels"

"a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"

"a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"

"implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"

"a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"

YES

YES

Both National Guardsmen die

Trump takes control of the DC police again

Trump invokes the Insurrection Act in DC

Another National Guardsman is killed in a target attack

A civilian is killed by a National Guardsman

Trump declares DC under Martial Law

Any Democratic lawmaker is charged or arrested in relation to the attack

The attack is confirmed to be politically motivated

Chicago

Portland

Baltimore

San Francisco

St. Louis

Detroit

NO

YES

YES