OptionProbability
Chellie Pingree
Any Other Senate Democratic Nominee for 2026
Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
Anyone who has ever been elected to public office as a Republican?
Janet Mills
Pete Buttigieg
Gavin Newsom
Jared Golden
JB Pritzker
Hasan Piker
Zohran Mamdani
Kamala Harris
Josh Shapiro
Barack Obama
75
62
49
36
26
20
16
15
14
10
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1307
765
The Age endorses Labor
Greens primary vote share increases
Jacinta Allan retains her seat
Jacinta Allan leads Labor to the election
Labor wins more seats than One Nation
Greens win more seats than the Nationals
The election results in a hung parliament
Statewide Treaty Act 2025 is repealed by the end of 2027
Victoria holds a referendum on electoral reform by the end of 2028
Group voting tickets are abolished before the election
The Herald Sun endorses One Nation
One Nation wins more seats than the Liberals
80
59
55
50
45
35
30
