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Prediction markets for National Immigration Administration

If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.5%chance

469723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6250

160

Will Trump accept El Salvador’s offer to house U.S. criminals?

Feb 4, 4:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

12.8%chance

169433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4980

990

Trump deport people in 2025?

Apr 18, 1:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

115729

OptionProbability

500,000 - 749,999

750,000 - 999,999

250,000 - 499,999

1,000,000+

Below 30,000

30,000 - 99,999

100,000 - 249,999

76

9

6

5

1

1

1

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

6.3%chance

223539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3858

259

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

121332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2025?

Nov 2, 6:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.26%chance

151230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

313

32

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.07%chance

91052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

906

Number of accidentally released migrant sex offenders in UK by 2026

Nov 5, 4:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5248

OptionProbability

2

4

3

Other

52

24

14

10

China's K visa attracts over 10,000 applications by Dec 31, 2025?

Oct 14, 8:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.09%chance

3150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

ANY safe-to-visit country refuses gender-neutral passports by 2040

Mar 26, 8:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

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