National Institutes of Health News
Top stories
Prediction markets for National Institutes of Health
Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?
Dec 17, 4:02 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM
5013644
OptionProbability
100
14
12
11
10
10
10
9
9
9
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
5
5
4
4
1
1
Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.58%chance
156839
OptionVotes
8427
3028
OptionProbability
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will the NIH's annual budget in 2028 be at least 50% lower than its 2024 budget in nominal dollars?
Dec 17, 4:11 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM
33.75%chance
91338
OptionVotes
1746
1278
OptionVotes
1056
807
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
Jan 11, 2:26 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
8.41%chance
7777
OptionVotes
280
42
Which countries will legalize psychedelics by the end of 2029? [ADD ANSWERS]
Mar 27, 7:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17754
OptionProbability
94
89
50
40
38
35
34
34
34
24
20
18
9
OptionProbability
32
16
15
13
7
6
5
3
3
OptionVotes
239
42
When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?
Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM
110
OptionProbability
33
17
17
17
17