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Prediction markets for National Party
OptionProbability
99
1
0
0
0
0
0
Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.5%chance
146499
OptionVotes
4428
320
How many list seats will the NZ National Party get after the election?
Oct 12, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56495
OptionProbability
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will Labour and National combined receive 60.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
Oct 6, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.46%chance
63880
OptionVotes
4162
240
Which party will win the national popular vote in the 2028 presidential election?
Nov 5, 11:13 PMNov 8, 12:00 PM
23002
OptionProbability
92
8
0
By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?
Jul 14, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
3.38%chance
172861
OptionVotes
3546
798
Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election
May 21, 5:41 AMJun 30, 5:38 AM
121687
OptionProbability
76
9
8
5
1
1
Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?
Nov 8, 6:44 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
11.97%chance
271548
OptionVotes
271
37
Who will be the Next Leader of the National Party of New Zealand?
Apr 16, 8:36 PMMay 16, 8:34 PM
71351
OptionProbability
35
26
22
10
7
Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?
Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
21.52%chance
21478
OptionVotes
1173
911
NZ election: Labour v National, Who gets higher % of Party List Vote
Oct 18, 8:32 AMDec 19, 11:59 PM
3276
OptionProbability
81
19
OptionProbability
52
48