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Prediction markets for National Party
Will the Frisian National Party get a seat in parliament?
Aug 15, 12:21 PMOct 16, 12:19 PM
26.63%chance
71542
OptionVotes
1660
603
Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM
86.27%chance
141412
OptionVotes
1179
931
Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?
Nov 8, 6:44 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
26.69%chance
241238
OptionVotes
166
60
Will the Australian Nationals merge with Australian Liberal party on a federal level, before 2026?
Feb 18, 11:53 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM
1%chance
41001
OptionVotes
995
10
By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?
Jul 14, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
11%chance
10748
OptionVotes
1188
946
Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?
Jan 13, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
21.5%chance
20465
OptionVotes
1174
911
What percentage of the vote will UPRONA party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?
Jun 3, 6:58 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM
1245
OptionProbability
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
What percentage of the vote will other parties win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?
Jun 3, 7:03 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM
1180
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
What percentage of the vote will CNL party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?
Jun 3, 6:54 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM
1125
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
Apr 7, 9:47 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM
66.34%chance
687
OptionVotes
235
140
Will the Liberal National Party of Queensland split by the end of 2027?
May 20, 4:43 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
23.36%chance
381
OptionVotes
181
55
Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election
May 21, 5:41 AMJun 30, 5:38 AM
272
OptionProbability
61
20
10
10