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Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

74%chance

6610437

OptionVotes

YES

1688

593

🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 14, 12:36 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

497887

OptionProbability

If Trump wins, Bitcoin will reach a new All Time High before the end of his term

If Trump wins, the S&P500 will reach a new all time high before the end of his term

If Trump wins, will the USA pass Ukraine aid at least once in his term

If Trump wins, will the USA conduct mass deportations before end of his term

If Biden/Dems Wins, Trump will be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life

If Biden/dems wins, the S&P500 will reach a new all time high before the end of his term

If Trump Wins, Trump will NOT go to prison before the end of his life

If Trump Wins, he will be impeached again before the end of his life

If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] report he has attempted to pass legislation to increase presidential term limits (i.e. >2 terms) before Inauguration Day 2029

If Trump wins, the Ukraine/Russia war will end in a border settlement of some type before the end of his term

Biden will win AND Trump will be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life

If Biden/dems wins, Bitcoin will reach a new All Time High before the end of his term

If Biden/Dems Wins, Trump will go to prison before the end of his life

If Trump Wins, Trump will NOT be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life

If Trump wins, Biden will die before the end of Trump's term

If Trump Wins, Trump will be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life

If Joe Biden Wins, Hunter Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of Joe Biden's term

If Biden/Dems wins, they will expand the supreme court before the end of the term

If Trump Wins, Joe Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of Trump's term

If Biden wins, Biden will die before the end of his term

If Trump wins, Hillary Clinton will be charged with a crime before the end of her life

If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] report that 1,000,000+ undocumented immigrants have been deported during 2025

If Trump Wins, Joe Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of either of their lives

If Biden wins, the Ukraine/Russia war will end in a border settlement of some type before the end of his term

If Dems/Biden wins, Trump will concede within 1 month

If Trump Wins, Hunter Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of Trump's term

If Biden/Dems wins, Trump will concede within 1 week

If Biden/Dems wins, Trump will die before the end of their term

If Dems/Biden wins, China will invade Taiwan OR full blockade (or otherwise attack)

If Trump wins, Trump will die before the end of his term

If Trump wins, China will invade Taiwan OR full blockade (or otherwise attack)

If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] will be censored, prosecuted, nationalized, shut down, or prevented by government action from operating freely & openly in the US.

If Biden/Dems wins, we'll go to war in Israel/Palestine (troops on ground / in air)

If Trump wins, Russia attacks Poland

If Trump wins , the USA will leave NATO before the end of his term

If Biden/Dems wins, we'll go to war in Ukraine (troops on ground / in air) during his time in office

If Trump wins, they will expand the supreme court before the end of the term

If Dems/Biden wins, will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by end of his term

If Trump wins, will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by end of his term

100

Will Orban (Fidesz) win the Hungarian Election on April 12th?

Feb 14, 11:54 AMApr 12, 11:59 PM

33.29%chance

464956

OptionVotes

YES

1416

706

Will I consider the next UK General Election "a First Past the Post shitshow"?

Jan 7, 9:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.68%chance

131431

OptionVotes

YES

1242

805

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.35%chance

61165

OptionVotes

YES

1098

911

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

10950

OptionVotes

YES

1248

801

When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?

Jun 12, 2:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13391

OptionProbability

2080

Other

2070

AFTER widespread Bitcoin adoption

2050

Lmao

2060

2090

2040

2100

2110

2130

2140

2150

2160

2170

2180

2190

2200

2120

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

53.61%chance

7311

OptionVotes

YES

1075

930

Complaints about delivery vehicles in bike lanes?

Jun 22, 6:24 PMJun 23, 6:10 PM

46.06%chance

3115

OptionVotes

YES

1082

924

Will the leader of a nonwestern nuclear power make an extremely ASI-pilled public statement before 2031?

Jan 12, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.61%chance

334

OptionVotes

YES

1008

992

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will Orban (Fidesz) win the Hungarian Election on April 12th?

Will I consider the next UK General Election "a First Past the Post shitshow"?

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

Complaints about delivery vehicles in bike lanes?

Will the leader of a nonwestern nuclear power make an extremely ASI-pilled public statement before 2031?

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

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