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Prediction markets for National Public Data

Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?

Jun 2, 7:29 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

78.03%chance

243767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1885

531

Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.

Nov 1, 5:55 PMMar 17, 11:59 PM

92522

OptionProbability

Daniel Biss

Kat Abugazaleh

Laura Fine

Mike Simmons

Other

Phil Andrew

45

43

4

3

3

2

China's public EV charging capacity exceeds 350M kilowatts by 2027?

Nov 29, 1:57 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

87.28%chance

111743

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2619

382

Head of state says "dildo" in public before 2030

Oct 22, 1:51 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

46.08%chance

201405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

931

Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?

Aug 19, 10:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.26%chance

241255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1445

838

Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?

Mar 15, 4:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73.71%chance

23965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1621

649

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Aug 9, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.75%chance

31920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

883

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will the '24 CA "Advanced Clean Trucks" requirements be successfully implemented?

Jun 8, 12:49 PMDec 31, 6:01 AM

69.62%chance

2385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

928

346

Discovery of Phoenician/Greek Colony in Subsaharan Africa before 2050?

Sep 20, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.92%chance

4225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2031?

Jun 21, 11:59 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

84.67%chance

5179

OptionVotes

NO

YES

235

43

China's public EV charging capacity exceeds 300M kilowatts by end of 2027?

Nov 26, 3:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.14%chance

495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

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