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Prediction markets for National Security Adviser

Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?

Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM

182980

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before June 2026

Before May 2026

Before April 2026

63

51

40

17

How many Trump cabinet members will leave in 2026?

Feb 24, 4:26 PMFeb 25, 7:59 AM

7391

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 2

Above 3

100

83

70

19

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