National Statistics Office News

India GDP Rises 7.8%, Smashing Forecasts on Public-Spending Surge

3 months ago

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

Jun 17, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.14%chance

1268613

OptionVotes

YES

2769

1875

How many non-immigrant visas will the U.S. Issue in FY 2025

Mar 18, 2:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16600

OptionProbability

10,000,000 - 11,999,999

8,000,000 - 9,999,999

12,000,000 - 13,999,999

Below 4,000,000

4,000,000 - 5,999,999

6,000,000 - 7,999,999

14,000,000+

Which 2024 Labour Manifesto Commitments will be achieved in this Parliament?

Jun 13, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

424924

OptionProbability

National Wealth Fund established and granted >=£7.3 billion seed capital

House of Lords hereditary peers prevented from sitting and voting

Voting franchise extended to 16 and 17 year olds

Minimum wage set at level equal to recommendations of the Resolution Foundation

>=40k increase in weekly GP appointments

2030 ban on new petrol and diesel car sales

UK energy independence from fossil fuels

>=1.5 million new homes built

Violent crime halved

100

Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2025?

Apr 7, 8:40 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

7.25%chance

203499

OptionVotes

YES

3576

280

Conditional on Labour winning the next election, will English housing rents increase by more than 3% in 2025?

Nov 9, 10:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.59%chance

7768

OptionVotes

YES

317

Will average wages rise faster than average house prices in the UK before the next general election?

Jul 14, 11:42 AMAug 25, 10:59 PM

40.75%chance

11595

OptionVotes

YES

1206

829

If H5N1 achieves global human-to-human spread, will it be a dud?

Jan 2, 4:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.86%chance

9464

OptionVotes

YES

1179

848

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

55.16%chance

7277

OptionVotes

YES

1109

902

Will 10% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

Jun 17, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83%chance

8147

OptionVotes

YES

224

119

If the PM after the next UK election is Reform, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?

Sep 24, 3:43 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

135

OptionProbability

100 - 200

200 - 300

0 - 100

300 - 400

400 - 500

Above 500

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2035?

Jun 17, 6:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.51%chance

435

OptionVotes

YES

101

If the PM after the next UK election is Labour, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?

Sep 24, 3:41 PMDec 31, 4:26 PM

122

OptionProbability

100 - 200

0 - 100

200 - 300

300 - 400

400 - 500

Above 500

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Prediction markets for National Statistics Office

Prediction markets for National Statistics Office

Prediction markets for National Statistics Office

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

How many non-immigrant visas will the U.S. Issue in FY 2025

Which 2024 Labour Manifesto Commitments will be achieved in this Parliament?

Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2025?

Conditional on Labour winning the next election, will English housing rents increase by more than 3% in 2025?

Will average wages rise faster than average house prices in the UK before the next general election?

If H5N1 achieves global human-to-human spread, will it be a dud?

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

Will 10% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

If the PM after the next UK election is Reform, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2035?

If the PM after the next UK election is Labour, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?

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