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Prediction markets for National Trust

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40%chance

24919563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2714

1726

Will a US presidential candidate make an anti data center remark during their campaign for 2028?

Aug 14, 5:38 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

95.11%chance

328829

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4409

227

Will 2027 be the hottest year on record

Oct 14, 1:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.94%chance

274033

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1601

625

Will Zelensky remain president of Ukraine until the end of 2026?

Nov 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.98%chance

233733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3639

275

Will the Presidio Trust be Dissolved by End of 2026?

Feb 20, 2:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.46%chance

73401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2433

411

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Apr 21, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.93%chance

102438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1944

515

Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?

Jun 16, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

121262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2005

499

What will be the outcome of the TicketMaster/Live Nation anti-trust lawsuit by the DoJ?

Apr 16, 4:46 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

161108

OptionProbability

Settlement

Judgement in favor of the Justice Department

Dismissal / dropped

Judgement in favor of TicketMaster/Live Nation

Mistrial

60

28

7

3

3

If entire humanity were to trust a single nation for total control of all nukes, who would win such a global poll?

Dec 28, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

241091

OptionProbability

Other

Japan

Switzerland

United Kingdom

Gaza

Argentina

Bhutan

None of the above / nobody can be trusted

Antarctiaca/UN/other such orgs

USA

India

New Zealand

China

EU

Ireland

Vatican City

Singapore

16

12

11

11

11

10

7

5

5

4

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Conservationists purchase Rothbury estate (England's largest land sale in 30 years)?

Oct 29, 11:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

76.07%chance

9785

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1783

561

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

May 13, 10:41 AMJun 13, 10:41 AM

2456

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 20

95

94

69

64

62

59

39

Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens?

May 18, 9:55 AMMay 15, 7:00 PM

13.02%chance

12438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

258

39

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