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Prediction markets for National Trust

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40%chance

24919563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2714

1726

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.38%chance

175992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14789

6762

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.05%chance

285260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2992

334

Will the Presidio Trust be Dissolved by End of 2026?

Feb 20, 2:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.46%chance

73401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2433

411

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Apr 21, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.93%chance

102438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1944

515

Will Platner, El-Sayed, and Talarico all win their Senate seats?

Jun 5, 2:37 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

24.3%chance

162415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3459

1202

Will Democrats begin to call the $1.776 billion dollar slush fund the “Epstein Loyalty Fund” by the midterms election?

May 21, 12:51 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

22.87%chance

101468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

If entire humanity were to trust a single nation for total control of all nukes, who would win such a global poll?

Dec 28, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

241091

OptionProbability

Other

Japan

Switzerland

United Kingdom

Gaza

Argentina

Bhutan

None of the above / nobody can be trusted

Antarctiaca/UN/other such orgs

USA

India

New Zealand

China

EU

Ireland

Vatican City

Singapore

16

12

11

11

11

10

7

5

5

4

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

What will be the outcome of the TicketMaster/Live Nation anti-trust lawsuit by the DoJ?

Apr 16, 4:46 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

14507

OptionProbability

Settlement

Judgement in favor of the Justice Department

Judgement in favor of TicketMaster/Live Nation

Dismissal / dropped

Mistrial

56

23

11

5

5

Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog?

Nov 30, 11:59 AMDec 31, 11:57 AM

19.43%chance

18488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

Conservationists purchase Rothbury estate (England's largest land sale in 30 years)?

Oct 29, 11:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

68.6%chance

5478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1478

677

Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?

Jun 16, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.4%chance

8346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1119

894

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