OptionProbability
call someone retarded through text or speech
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
A literal red line on the ground/floor
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela
Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
Stays alive
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
new blockade of a country
request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
put his name on a ship in the navy
have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
have a journalist arrested
Trump will pardon those involved before the sentencing - medical fraud schemes
Revoke ten or more citizenships
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
Causes Tina Peters' early release
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
ten or more protestors killed during term
pass 500 or more executive orders
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
Mandate teaching Arabic numerals in East (American) Samoan schools
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
File lawsuit against a congressperson
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
Nominate a family member to high office
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
Dep
Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
add a new federal holiday in his honor
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
Raise the retirement age for social security
stops all sanctions on Russia
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
resume buying oil from Russia
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
force a former president to testify before Congress
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
Postpone the elections due to emergency
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
Enact price controls on groceries
Kidnap *another* head of state (after Maduro)
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
Add a citizenship question to the census
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
host putin at mar a lago
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
Prosecute someone for flag burning
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
department of defense renamed to Dept of war
Pardon himself
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
Get rid of Noaa.
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
Says 6 7 (or variant)
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
Causes derek chauvin's early release
Deploy US troops into any of 83 Federal subjects of Russian Federation (or announce that)
Call for the end of the House of Reps
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
take control of a part of greenland
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
All 10 of the 10 largest protests in the USA happen under trump
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
repeal Obamacare
pardon derek chauvin
admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
actually disinter bodies from another country
Call for the end of child marriage
Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
orders arrests of any Biden family member
Annex any part of Mexico
Pardon a convicted pedophile
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
Replace his Vice President
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
Salute Putin
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
expand the borders of the usa
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
fauci in jail at least one week
take control of a part of ukraine
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
add a new state
pardon george santos
take state ownership in an airline
Attack a NATO ally.
Pardon p diddy
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
ends black history month
Implement a federal age of consent
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
declares a white history month
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.
Call for the end of gay marriage
Announce he’s running for a third term
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
ban trans people from holding federal offices
Implement a federal abortion ban
make statements that are negative about labubu
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
fully nationalize an airline
Call for the end of the Senate
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
stop California from hosting the Olympics
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
change the borders of a state
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
repeal an amendment
Withdraw from NATO
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
Call for the end of interracial marriage
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
bans anime
bans 6 7
all time high unemployment reached
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
Wearing a white dress after labor day
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
100
100
100
100
100
95
89
88
88
87
84
83
81
76
76
76
75
75
74
71
71
71
70
70
69
69
66
65
63
63
62
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52
50
48
47
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43
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41
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41
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36
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34
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20
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
18
18
18
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17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3018
10
OptionProbability
People spending large amounts of time in VR hardware (100+ million hours per week in the US)
Fully driverless cars are >=1% of miles driven in the US
Major armed conflict between world powers breaks out (World War 3)
Encountering a humanoid robot in public and not being surprised
Revolutionary breakthrough in fusion energy
Any government in the world (local, regional, national) is run by an AI system
Global digital currency replaces traditional banking systems
Space tourism/travel becomes commercially viable for middle class
28
25
21
19
16
15
7
6
OptionProbability
It won’t happen by the end of 2025
The IOC and/or US Olympic committee will threaten participation bans against anyone participating in the Enhanced Games
Participants from 10 or more countries will enter the Games
It will run over budget
A woman will break a formal world record previously held by a man, for any amount of time
There will be a restriction on political speech by participants and/or their teams by the Games
Athletes from the United States will win the most events
Some enhancing substance or surgery will be banned by the Games (not just by law)
A country will ban or restrict participation in the Enhanced Games
Dana White will attend the Enhanced Games
A Fortune 100 company or brand will sponsor the Enhanced Games
Swimming, gymnastics, weightlifting, track and field, and combat will be the ONLY event categories
Watching the Games online will be officially free in the United States (with or without ads)
There will be a protest of 1000+ people outside of the of the event for at least 1 hour, on one day
It will turn a profit
It will be a culture war adjacent topic
A prominent financial backer will bail out of the project before the Games
50 or more formal world records will be broken
Participants from 25 or more countries will enter the Games
A nation's prime minister, president, monarch, or other world leader will attend the Enhanced Games
Athletes from Russia will win the most events
Athletes from China will win the most events
10 or more formal world records will be broken
An athlete will become paralyzed, braindead, or otherwise severely disabled (but not killed) during training or competition for the Games
Someone will run the 100 meter dash faster than 9.58 seconds
A leg is lost (whatever that means)
Someone will die while competing, or up to 24 hours after competing
Athletes from India will win the most events
Politically left people will be more likely to support it
The Enhanced Games will start and finish before the end of Q3 2025
100
85
79
78
70
67
65
65
60
59
58
55
50
50
47
45
41
35
35
32
23
19
19
19
19
16
11
3
1
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1556
846
OptionProbability
6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states
GOP loses control of the House
Chat GPT 6 releases
GTA VI Release
Israel : Hamas Ceasefire
MLB World Series won by the National League team
at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)
Assassination of an African head of state
there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice
nuclear detonation occurs (can be a test)
Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude
Russia : Ukraine ceasefire
Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone
Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)
Imu face reveal in One Piece
grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa
Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel
reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread
Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital
bitcoin reaches a new all time high
Assassination of a European or Asian head of state
North Korea and South Korea conflict reignites into a hot war, and results in at least one death
H5N1 pandemic declared
Joe Biden dies
Pope Francis dies
Taylor Swift breaks up with Kelce
Vladimir Putin dies
commercial airline hijacking
Donald Trump dies
99
90
80
74
66
66
64
61
53
46
45
40
36
34
34
33
30
30
26
24
18
17
17
16
13
11
9
9
6
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1121
892
OptionVotes
YES
NO
131
77
OptionProbability
Other
2034
2038
2042
2046
2030
2026
41
13
13
13
13
6
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
108
77
OptionVotes
YES
NO
146
88
OptionVotes
NO
YES
103
97
