OptionProbability
call someone retarded through text or speech
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
A literal red line on the ground/floor
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela
Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
Causes Tina Peters' early release
new blockade of a country
pass 500 or more executive orders
put his name on a ship in the navy
have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally
resume buying oil from Russia
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
Stays alive
Revoke ten or more citizenships
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
ten or more protestors killed during term
request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
File lawsuit against a congressperson
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground
Dep
have a journalist arrested
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
Trump will pardon those involved before the sentencing - medical fraud schemes
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
Mandate teaching Arabic numerals in East (American) Samoan schools
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory
Raise the retirement age for social security
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
Nominate a family member to high office
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
add a new federal holiday in his honor
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
Kidnap *another* head of state (after Maduro)
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
Pardon a convicted pedophile
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
Enact price controls on groceries
Says 6 7 (or variant)
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
Add a citizenship question to the census
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
host putin at mar a lago
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
department of defense renamed to Dept of war
Pardon himself
Get rid of Noaa.
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
force a former president to testify before Congress
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
Causes derek chauvin's early release
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
Deploy US troops into any of 83 Federal subjects of Russian Federation (or announce that)
Postpone the elections due to emergency
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
stops all sanctions on Russia
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
All 10 of the 10 largest protests in the USA happen under trump
Announce he’s running for a third term
Withdraw from NATO
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
repeal Obamacare
pardon derek chauvin
admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
actually disinter bodies from another country
Call for the end of child marriage
Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day
Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
orders arrests of any Biden family member
Annex any part of Mexico
Prosecute someone for flag burning
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
Replace his Vice President
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
expand the borders of the usa
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
Attack a NATO ally.
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
fauci in jail at least one week
take control of a part of ukraine
add a new state
pardon george santos
take state ownership in an airline
Call for the end of the House of Reps
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
take control of a part of greenland
ends black history month
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.
Call for the end of gay marriage
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
ban trans people from holding federal offices
make statements that are negative about labubu
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
fully nationalize an airline
Salute Putin
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
stop California from hosting the Olympics
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Pardon p diddy
Implement a federal age of consent
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
change the borders of a state
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
repeal an amendment
declares a white history month
Implement a federal abortion ban
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
Call for the end of the Senate
all time high unemployment reached
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
Call for the end of interracial marriage
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
bans anime
bans 6 7
Wearing a white dress after labor day
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
100
100
100
100
100
95
91
88
88
84
83
76
76
75
71
71
71
70
70
69
69
68
66
65
63
62
62
60
57
56
55
55
52
52
50
49
47
46
45
44
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41
40
38
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26
26
26
26
25
25
25
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22
22
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3018
10
OptionProbability
People spending large amounts of time in VR hardware (100+ million hours per week in the US)
Fully driverless cars are >=1% of miles driven in the US
Major armed conflict between world powers breaks out (World War 3)
Encountering a humanoid robot in public and not being surprised
Any government in the world (local, regional, national) is run by an AI system
Revolutionary breakthrough in fusion energy
Global digital currency replaces traditional banking systems
Space tourism/travel becomes commercially viable for middle class
28
25
22
19
16
16
8
6
OptionProbability
It won’t happen by the end of 2025
The IOC and/or US Olympic committee will threaten participation bans against anyone participating in the Enhanced Games
Participants from 10 or more countries will enter the Games
It will run over budget
A woman will break a formal world record previously held by a man, for any amount of time
There will be a restriction on political speech by participants and/or their teams by the Games
Athletes from the United States will win the most events
Some enhancing substance or surgery will be banned by the Games (not just by law)
A country will ban or restrict participation in the Enhanced Games
Dana White will attend the Enhanced Games
A Fortune 100 company or brand will sponsor the Enhanced Games
Swimming, gymnastics, weightlifting, track and field, and combat will be the ONLY event categories
Watching the Games online will be officially free in the United States (with or without ads)
There will be a protest of 1000+ people outside of the of the event for at least 1 hour, on one day
It will turn a profit
It will be a culture war adjacent topic
A prominent financial backer will bail out of the project before the Games
50 or more formal world records will be broken
Participants from 25 or more countries will enter the Games
A nation's prime minister, president, monarch, or other world leader will attend the Enhanced Games
Athletes from China will win the most events
Athletes from Russia will win the most events
10 or more formal world records will be broken
An athlete will become paralyzed, braindead, or otherwise severely disabled (but not killed) during training or competition for the Games
Someone will run the 100 meter dash faster than 9.58 seconds
A leg is lost (whatever that means)
Someone will die while competing, or up to 24 hours after competing
Athletes from India will win the most events
Politically left people will be more likely to support it
The Enhanced Games will start and finish before the end of Q3 2025
100
85
79
78
70
67
65
65
60
59
58
55
50
50
47
45
41
35
35
32
19
19
19
19
19
16
11
3
1
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1370
881
OptionProbability
GOP loses control of the House
6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states
GTA VI Release
Chat GPT 6 releases
Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude
Israel : Hamas Ceasefire
MLB World Series won by the National League team
there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice
at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)
New FKT record for the Appalachian Trail
Assassination of an African head of state
nuclear detonation occurs (can be a test)
Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)
Joe Biden dies
Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone
Imu face reveal in One Piece
grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa
Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel
reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread
Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital
Russia : Ukraine ceasefire
bitcoin reaches a new all time high
H5N1 pandemic declared
Assassination of a European or Asian head of state
North Korea and South Korea conflict reignites into a hot war, and results in at least one death
Vladimir Putin dies
commercial airline hijacking
Pope Francis dies
Donald Trump dies
Taylor Swift breaks up with Kelce
90
88
80
75
68
66
66
66
64
62
51
47
44
39
36
34
33
30
30
26
20
20
20
18
17
16
15
13
12
11
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1008
992
OptionVotes
YES
NO
135
74
OptionProbability
Other
2034
2038
2042
2046
2030
2026
41
13
13
13
13
6
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
108
77
OptionVotes
YES
NO
146
88
OptionVotes
YES
NO
122
82
