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Prediction markets for NATS

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

Mar 8, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

110390726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1785

1512

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.06%chance

230167258

OptionProbability

YES

NO

5059

4362

Will the National Guard kill at least 10 protestors by end of 2026?

Apr 28, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:29 PM

18.83%chance

2818701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20765

4816

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.31%chance

5717669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13461

7504

Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM

32.3%chance

2415943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14478

6907

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.97%chance

5212270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19342

7418

Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23.2%chance

3010934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18193

5497

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

42.19%chance

206441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12038

8179

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

975

highest total pr at nats 2026

Apr 18, 4:01 PMMay 1, 10:59 PM

2260

OptionProbability

kian

rohan

kevin

ritwik

suzuko

Other

37

22

20

7

7

7

Will @Nat write a proper bio?

Apr 3, 9:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.02%chance

3243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Will my Pokemon AI win its Nat Dex Monotype Gauntlet?

Dec 30, 3:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.23%chance

3205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

838

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