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Natural Capital News
Prediction markets for Natural Capital
Prediction markets for Natural Capital
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
71.93%
chance
16
3414
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1009
979
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
22.16%
chance
20
2757
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1470
801
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%
chance
37
2697
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1928
630
Will the U.S. capital be Washington, D.C. at the end of the decade?
Jun 19, 5:34 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
94.87%
chance
17
1421
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1796
892
2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
26.97%
chance
25
1329
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1017
852
2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today
Mar 11, 12:07 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
88.83%
chance
14
1045
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1519
876
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