OptionVotes
YES
NO
19679
5082
2438
1224
1846
1470
OptionProbability
OpenAI/Microsoft
Deepmind/Google/Alphabet
Anthropic
xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative
Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)
A government or coalition of governments
Meta (Facebook) AI Research
A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these
28
24
11
10
9
7
1
1081
928
137
121
A humanoid robot completes a full Marathon race.
A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of a major fashion magazine.
A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of Time magazine.
A humanoid robot capable of bipedal motion and natural language communication available for sale on Amazon.
72
50
45
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