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Prediction markets for NAV

Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?

Sep 5, 3:34 AMOct 31, 5:47 AM

5.78%chance

336359606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39676

5076

Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?

Sep 24, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.19%chance

13072470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14287

10521

Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?

Jan 2, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

98.82%chance

11026560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4209

18

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Jun 23, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.54%chance

7513604

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5637

2818

Will Yulia Navalnaya be leader of Russia? 🇷🇺🎤👩🏼‍🦰

Feb 19, 5:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.62%chance

222895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2261

891

Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?

Sep 8, 8:10 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

7.14%chance

302203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2495

769

Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)

Apr 9, 12:13 PMApr 16, 9:59 PM

5%chance

231955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

32

Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?

Sep 15, 8:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.38%chance

201843

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1619

618

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:45 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

21965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

706

During his 2nd term, will the US name a navy ship after Donald J. Trump?

Aug 24, 2:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

25.97%chance

485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will "Explaining British Naval Dominance During the..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 12:40 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.96%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

732

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