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Top stories

Naval Group Cyberattack Leaks 13GB Data July 23, Full Cache Over 1TB; Firm Denies Hack Claims

Naval Group Cyberattack Leaks 13GB Data July 23, Full Cache Over 1TB; Firm Denies Hack Claims

Authors

6

6 days ago

Prediction markets for Naval Group

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.88%chance

6610019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

747

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.73%chance

456841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

875

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.59%chance

344316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1074

715

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 10, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

353628

OptionProbability

Kerch Bridge (Crimea)

Yamal-Europe Pipeline

Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)

Guri Dam (Venezuela)

Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)

Vatican City

Suez Canal (Egypt)

Xiluodu Dam (China)

Baihetan Dam (China)

Three Gorges Dam (China)

The Great Sphinx of Giza (Egypt)

Panama Canal (Panama)

Golden Gate Bridge (United States)

Statue of Liberty (US)

The Empire State Building (US)

The Louvre (Paris, France)

Channel Tunnel (UK and France)

Hoover Dam (US)

Port of Houston (US)

World Trade Center (New York, US)

Eiffel Tower (Paris, France)

The Holland Tunnel (The tunnel under the Hudson River) (NYC to NJ, US)

97

35

26

25

24

24

20

19

17

17

16

15

12

12

12

12

11

10

10

10

10

9

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2025? [ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 10, 10:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

262355

OptionProbability

Kerch Bridge (Crimea)

Yamal-Europe Pipeline

Guri Dam (Venezuela)

Suez Canal (Egypt)

Eiffel Tower (France)

Xiluodu Dam (China)

Baihetan Dam (China)

Three Gorges Dam (China)

World Trade Center (New York, US)

Vatican City

Panama Canal (Panama)

Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)

Channel Tunnel (UK and France)

Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)

The Louvre (France)

Golden Gate Bridge (United States)

Hoover Dam (United States)

99

34

33

18

11

10

10

10

10

10

9

9

8

7

5

3

3

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.09%chance

251736

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

741

Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?

Feb 7, 9:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

71274

OptionProbability

Mauritius

United Kingdom

United States

A new independent "Chagos Islands" country or countries

They will be underwater / won't exist

Maldives

China

Other

69

7

6

6

4

3

3

3

By when will the Israel-Iran ceasefire be broken? [Polymarket]

Jun 26, 1:41 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

19989

OptionProbability

Wednesday, December 31

Friday, October 31

Sunday, August 31

Friday, June 27

Friday, July 11

Thursday, July 31

50

41

10

0

0

0

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.57%chance

26867

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

904

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