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Top stories

Pumas UNAM Signs Three-Time Champions League Winner Keylor Navas for $2 Million, Debuts in 2-0 Win

Pumas UNAM Signs Three-Time Champions League Winner Keylor Navas for $2 Million, Debuts in 2-0 Win

Authors

21

13 days ago

Prediction markets for Navas

Was Alexei Navalny killed [see description]?

Feb 19, 10:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.53%chance

365029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1449

766

Will China institute a naval blockade of Taiwan before the end of 2025?

Jan 7, 9:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.68%chance

433925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1681

852

Alexei Navalny stock (permanent)

Mar 30, 2:10 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

252325

OptionProbability

NO

YES

506

439

Will Yulia Navalnaya be leader of Russia? 🇷🇺🎤👩🏼‍🦰

Feb 19, 5:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.97%chance

201984

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1670

917

Peter Navarro out of the Trump admin before EOY 2025?

Apr 20, 2:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

42.6%chance

20344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

Will Russia abandon the Tartus naval base in 2025?

Jan 29, 11:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

12.98%chance

8218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Will Syria continue to allow Russia to operate its air and naval bases inside of Syria until the end of 2025?

Jan 29, 6:22 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73.41%chance

5166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

60

Will Chinese naval units outclass American naval units in direct combat?

May 4, 2:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.67%chance

11154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

169

[Predict the year] Guantanamo Bay Naval Station ceases to operate as a detention facility

Apr 1, 9:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6107

Will Yulia Navalnaya run for President of Russia before 2030?

Oct 21, 8:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.22%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

Which European countries will deploy naval vessels to the Pacific in 2024 and/or 2025?

Jan 17, 9:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

658

OptionProbability

Russia

UK

France

Italy

Germany

Spain

Poland

Netherlands

Norway

Greece

Denmark

Portugal

Turkey

Belgium

100

100

100

100

64

60

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

24

Will "Explaining British Naval Dominance During the..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 12:40 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.96%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

732

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