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Prediction markets for NAVI

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Jun 23, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.19%chance

7112012

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5576

2992

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:45 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

21965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

706

Will the US Navy continue their streak of never having a nuclear accident at the end of 2026?

Jul 22, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.38%chance

10434

OptionVotes

NO

YES

458

22

Will the Trump Class Battleship be built or will the US Navy determine it is wasteful and unnecessary for modern warfare

Dec 24, 2:37 AMDec 24, 2:34 AM

20%chance

13239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will the US Navy's NGAD fighter enter service before the US Air Force's?

Apr 6, 8:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

46.98%chance

2142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

69

Will the Royal Navy plan to commission more than seven SSN AUKUS submarines?

May 10, 10:57 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

62.13%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

54

Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.39%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

Will a Type 32 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy before 2040?

May 10, 9:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

60.59%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

62

40

Will the Royal Navy plan to commission more than six Type 83 destroyers?

May 10, 9:57 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

When will the first Type 26 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy?

Feb 10, 11:48 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

-2027

2028

2029

2030+

31

29

20

20

Will the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

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