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Prediction markets for NAVI

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Jun 23, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.4%chance

7513578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5631

2836

Will any navy ship of more than 2,000 tonnes be sunk in ship-to-ship combat before 2036?

May 23, 9:38 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

31.38%chance

51366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

48

Will the US Navy commission a new battleship by the end of 2028?

Feb 27, 10:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.73%chance

151230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

38

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:45 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

21965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

706

Will the US Navy continue their streak of never having a nuclear accident at the end of 2026?

Jul 22, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.38%chance

10434

OptionVotes

NO

YES

458

22

Will the Royal Navy launch a ship named HMS Blinky Wombat by 2028?

Jul 6, 9:50 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

4.99%chance

9424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will the US Navy commission more than three Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

70.19%chance

338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

51

Will any Type 45 destroyer still be in commission in the Royal Navy in 2040?

Jan 27, 1:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

54.45%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

60

Will a Type 32 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy before 2040?

May 10, 9:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

60.59%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

62

40

When will the first Type 26 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy?

Feb 10, 11:48 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

-2027

2028

2029

2030+

31

29

20

20

Will the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

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