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Top stories

InsiderAdvantage Poll Puts Trump Approval at 54%, Highest This Year

InsiderAdvantage Poll Puts Trump Approval at 54%, Highest This Year

Authors

4

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Navigator Research

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.08%chance

746756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1862

1305

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Will I get into Stanford as a Transfer Undergraduate

Feb 2, 2:08 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

121095

OptionProbability

Rejection

Acceptance

Waitlist

47

41

12

GPS disrupted for 24hr within USA before 2035?

Jul 23, 8:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.22%chance

5825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

908

When will Brave browser's Leo have agentic capacities?

Jan 21, 9:03 PMJan 21, 9:03 PM

2225

OptionProbability

After

Before Oct 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before Apr 2026

64

24

17

10

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

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