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Prediction markets for NDA
OptionProbability
80
79
77
74
64
62
60
59
59
21
21
0
Will the solid-state (Donut) Verge motorcycle be delivered under a non-disclosure agreement?
Mar 21, 12:20 AMJan 2, 1:10 AM
12.42%chance
65384
OptionVotes
2656
377
Will The Architect (Siberian Node) publicly leak the Golden Ratio (1.618) Engineering Prompt in 2026?
Apr 18, 12:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
53%chance
92300
OptionVotes
106
94
OptionProbability
67
61
58
58
27
15
Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
61.83%chance
112048
OptionVotes
1138
717
Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?
Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM
77.43%chance
51540
OptionVotes
3308
1022
OptionVotes
229
44
Will Vince McMahon settle out of court with any of his sex scandal accusers?
Jan 29, 3:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.4%chance
7359
OptionVotes
1245
662
Outcomes of Eli Lilly's attempt to get retatrutide classified as a biologic vs. a regular drug?
Oct 24, 1:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
341
OptionProbability
50
50
50
41
41



