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Prediction markets for NEC

Will working be necessary in 2070?

May 11, 3:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.94%chance

297234995

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3233

1505

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

8211323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1433

1170

Does Nectome's preservation protocol work?

Mar 12, 6:22 AMJan 2, 6:11 AM

45.35%chance

3510099

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10977

9110

Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).

Mar 2, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29%chance

716082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

1090

Will a robot be able to reliably tie a men's necktie by the year 2034?

Aug 19, 1:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.37%chance

515359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2757

363

Before the decade is out Apple will do a digital necromancy of Steve Jobs to deliver a keynote product announcement

May 15, 4:59 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.98%chance

381691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1535

893

Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?

Mar 18, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.16%chance

91385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1309

764

Will Nectome's human preservation protocol be published in a peer-reviewed journal by end of 2028?

Mar 18, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.89%chance

81132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1488

672

Who will win the 2025-2026 KNVB Beker?

Feb 5, 9:00 PMMar 30, 10:00 PM

9850

OptionProbability

AZ

NEC

PSV

Telstar

66

32

1

1

Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040?

Mar 18, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.02%chance

7841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1527

655

Will Nectome preserve at least one human by the end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.23%chance

5740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1465

682

Will Nectome still be operating in 2032?

Mar 18, 10:43 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

66.98%chance

3607

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1424

702

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