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Prediction markets for NEC

Will working be necessary in 2070?

May 11, 3:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

32.62%chance

297234945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3183

1529

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.15%chance

8211322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1434

1169

Will Necrodominance be banned in Modern by 5/25/26?

May 25, 9:45 PMMay 26, 3:59 AM

1%chance

1710768

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).

Mar 2, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29%chance

716082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

1090

Will a robot be able to reliably tie a men's necktie by the year 2034?

Aug 19, 1:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.37%chance

515359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2757

363

Will data center technicians still be necessary in 2027?

Sep 15, 11:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

91.63%chance

324756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3309

302

Before the decade is out Apple will do a digital necromancy of Steve Jobs to deliver a keynote product announcement

May 15, 4:59 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.98%chance

381691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1535

893

By 2045, will I feel that working is necessary to maintain a decent quality of life in the United States?

Jun 6, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.56%chance

7149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

In the age of automation, will universal basic income be a necessary policy for economic stability?

Dec 10, 6:34 AMJan 9, 6:59 AM

58.25%chance

11118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

252

173

Is cerebrolysin a necessary but not sufficient component of solving the binding problem?

Jul 22, 9:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.37%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Who will win the 2025-2026 KNVB Beker?

Feb 5, 9:00 PMFeb 12, 12:59 AM

281

OptionProbability

PSV

AZ

NEC

Telstar

55

31

7

7

Will neural networks be necessary to winning a SAT competition by 2030?

Nov 4, 4:20 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23%chance

679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

91

27

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