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Prediction markets for NET

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

Jan 22, 4:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.64%chance

51177540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32880

8323

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market)

Jul 2, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.7%chance

21477630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4631

2534

Neural nets will out-perform researchers on peer review by end of 2025.

May 5, 5:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73.36%chance

13239157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1668

485

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]

Mar 28, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.18%chance

10728934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4039

1127

Neural Nets will generate at least 1 scientific breakthrough or novel theorem by the end of 2025

Mar 28, 10:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.2%chance

12320750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1602

1265

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

15.29%chance

9117542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2670

2113

Will Keir Starmer's net favourability rating be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024?

Jan 29, 11:09 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

35%chance

163778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

734

Will the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?

Jul 29, 5:46 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

71.28%chance

302229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1575

635

What do you predict Sam Bankman-Fried's net worth will be on Nov 16, 2025? (i.e., ~3 years from the FTX crises)

Nov 16, 3:29 PMOct 15, 3:59 AM

48%chance

201863

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1347

750

Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?

Aug 23, 5:32 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.69%chance

151254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

594

Will there be a year, before 2030, in which net AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 17, 12:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.08%chance

121034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

816

Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?

Dec 14, 2:03 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

60.99%chance

29663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

581

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