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Prediction markets for NET Power

Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

28.61%chance

65770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12116

9018

At least one of the most powerful neural nets at end of 2026 will be trained using 10^27 FLOPs

May 16, 8:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.52%chance

454256

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1764

571

Will the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

32.76%chance

43511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12331

8645

Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

40.01%chance

53433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12045

8363

Will the OMIE Spain annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 60 EUR per MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

55.17%chance

52059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10149

9814

Will Nord Pool 2027 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

51.59%chance

71364

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10323

9687

Will Nord Pool 2028 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

52.22%chance

41124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10045

9959

A fusion power plant will generate a net 100 megawatt of electricity by the beginning of 2063

Mar 25, 3:44 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

77.7%chance

241063

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1300

880

At least one of the most powerful neural nets at end of 2030 will be trained using 10^27 FLOPs

May 16, 8:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.88%chance

10570

OptionVotes

NO

YES

800

130

Will a humanoid robot controlled by an end-to-end neural network juggle three balls for ten seconds before 2030?

Mar 14, 10:01 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87.04%chance

12437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1195

932

By Dec 31, 2035, will any nuclear fusion power plant have delivered at least 100 MW of net electrical power, 30 day ave.

Oct 3, 11:21 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.57%chance

5333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10062

9455

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.15%chance

13328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

945

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