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Prediction markets for Netherlands

Will English be an official language of the Netherlands any time before the end of 2030?

Sep 26, 12:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.55%chance

453148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3473

661

Will the Netherlands suffer a catastrophic flooding event before 31st December 2030?

Jan 9, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.1%chance

392211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

741

If the Netherlands has a referendum on leaving the EU, will it favor leaving?

Nov 23, 1:14 AMNov 29, 7:59 AM

10.89%chance

261512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1845

830

Vote rigging scandal in UK, CA, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, DK, Sweden, Finland, or Ireland before 2027?

Dec 1, 9:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.98%chance

271276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1582

676

Will the Netherlands still be a monarchy in 2050?

Oct 20, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55.64%chance

20801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

848

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

51%chance

6799

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

980

Will the Netherlands formally withdraw from the EU before 2030?

Nov 27, 9:56 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2.22%chance

8696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

806

69

[Metaculus] Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant ...sly before the year 2100?

Nov 9, 12:20 AMJan 3, 12:00 AM

43.36%chance

7447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

109

Will the Netherlands play Morocco in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Jun 20, 8:11 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

6399

OptionProbability

No way. Neither of these teams will make the final

My prediction: they'll meet before the final.

That would be an amazing final. Morocco to win.

One of these teams will make the final, but not both

That would be an amazing final. Netherlands to win.

45

32

12

9

2

Will the Netherlands men's football (soccer) team win the FIFA world cup before the end of 2042?

Mar 18, 8:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14%chance

13373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

387

155

Will the Netherlands win a World Cup by 2043?

Aug 1, 8:58 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.65%chance

10220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

114

VVD + CDA + D66 coalition forms in Netherlands?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.19%chance

6181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

267

78

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