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Neural Concept News
Prediction markets for Neural Concept
Prediction markets for Neural Concept
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
Nov 10, 4:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
24.24%
chance
101
3752
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1843
1542
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
48.44%
chance
21
3540
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1033
971
Will we find polysemanticity via superposition in neurons in the brain before 2040?
Jan 21, 10:56 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
63.87%
chance
4
245
Option
Votes
NO
YES
117
96
Is Nick Cammarata right: LLM will be able to mechanistically audit own circuits and explain ghiblification in 2Y?
Mar 28, 6:07 AM
Mar 28, 6:05 AM
23.18%
chance
8
179
Option
Votes
YES
NO
182
55
Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?
Mar 27, 3:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
65.99%
chance
10
177
Option
Votes
NO
YES
257
192
Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?
Nov 11, 11:36 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
56.48%
chance
4
51
Option
Votes
NO
YES
114
88
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%
chance
1
22
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
82
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